Markets
Reasons why Bitcoin is struggling despite the crypto market being bullish on Wednesday
Bitcoin price has still struggled to regain its momentum despite the rally seen today in the broader crypto market. Altcoins regained their position in the green today after slow trading last week, and the rally was led by the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum.
Considering this, several investors are looking for possible reasons why the price of Bitcoin is still struggling despite an upward momentum observed in the performance of altcoins.
Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Is Struggling
Bitcoin ETF Outflows
The price of Bitcoin has been struggling in recent days after witnessing a strong rally in recent months. Notably, BTC’s recent rally was mainly driven by robust inflow into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, among other reasons, which reinforced market sentiment.
Furthermore, several other market trends and optimistic predictions from market experts have also fueled market confidence. That said, the recent exit in US Spot Bitcoin ETFs
weighed on the feeling.
For context, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen outflows over the last four days totaling more than $700 million. On June 18, outflow was $152.4 million, led by Fidelity’s FBTC recording $83.1 million and GrayScale’s GBTC seeing an outflow of $62.3 million.
Other concerns
This notable exit raised concerns among investors, while also impacting investors’ appetite for risky bets. Furthermore, Fed officials’ mixed outlook on their policy rate plans also continued to weigh on sentiment, despite the latest data showing that inflation is cooling in the US.
That said, investors appear to be shifting their focus to lower-priced markets. altcoins for now as we seek greater clarity before entering the market. Furthermore, popular crypto market analyst Ali Martinez previously said that Bitcoin needs to rise above $66,254 to avoid a potential drop to $61,000.
However, given BTC’s current trading range at $65,000, investors remain cautious.
Read too: Bitcoin (BTC) price correction to $60,000, as per network data
Why is the crypto market booming today?
The crypto market today showed upward momentum despite the drop in Bitcoin price, reflecting investors’ growing confidence towards crypto. Notably, the rise in altcoins was led by Ethereum as its price rose after the US SEC concluded its investigation into Ethereum Security Status
.
This development comes amid growing optimism about a possible approval of the US Spot Ethereum ETF by the US SEC by July 2nd. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas recently revealed this potential timeline for approval, sparking market optimism.
Macroeconomic factors at play
Recent data showing that global inflation is cooling has also reinforced market sentiment. To contextualize, the European Central Bank (ECB)
announced its first rate cut in years, boosting investor confidence.
On the other hand, the recent US CPI and PPI data also showed that inflation is cooling. While it still remains above the Fed’s 2% target, it appears to have cooled in May, raising bets about a possible two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. However, the positive data did not have any immediate impact on Bitcoin or the broader crypto market.
Furthermore, the most recent data showed that the Inflation measured by UK CPI decreased to 2% in May, compared to 2.3% in the previous month. For the first time in about three years, the number was in line with the BoE’s target range, as investors anticipated a potential rate cut from the central bank.
Conclusion
Although Bitcoin has struggled amid the recovery seen in the broader crypto sector, market experts still remain optimistic about BTC’s long-term trajectory. For example, Ali Martinez, in a recent post on X, shared a potential timeline for Bitcoin to top, citing historical trends.
Martinez said that if Bitcoin Performance reflects the movements of the last three cycles, so Bitcoin could reach its top in December 2024 or October 2025.
However, at the time of writing, Bitcoin Price erased some of its losses and changed hands for $65,300. It reached a low of $64,066.96 in the last 24 hours. On the other hand, Ethereum Price rose nearly 4% to $3,560 after hitting a 24-hour high of $3,583.88.
Read too: The Sandbox expands Memecoin chest with purchase of DOGE, PEPE and SHIB
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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