Markets
MtGox’s $9 billion payment is creditors’ gain, but Bitcoin’s pain

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Bitcoin is trading below $60,000 for the first time since early May, when exchange MtGox announced that it will begin distributing approximately $9 billion in cryptocurrencies and $50 million in bitcoin cash to its long-suffering creditors.
The now-defunct Tokyo-based platform, once the world’s largest bitcoin spot exchange, closed in 2014 after a series of hacks. Of the 950,000 bitcoins lost, approximately 140,000 were recovered after MtGox declared bankruptcy, leaving thousands of creditors around the world stranded. Nine years later, authorities identified the hackers as two Russian citizens loaded by the US Department of Justice for conspiring to launder approximately 647,000 bitcoins from the exchange.
Over the years, MtGox has faced several delays in repaying creditors, but today administrator Nobuaki Kobayashi announced the exchange will begin distributing bitcoin and bitcoin cash (which customers automatically received in 2017 when the token was created) to the cryptocurrency exchanges it has agreed to distribute payments with, which include Kraken, Bitstamp and BitGo, next month. The exchange emerged from an online card trading service, and MtGox stands for Magic: The Gathering Online Exchange.
The crypto market’s reaction was swift, with more than $200 million worth of long positions forcibly liquidated in the last 12 hours, according to Georgi Koreli, co-founder and CEO of privacy protocol Hinkal. “We expect the payments to be a stress for the market, however, they could be a tremendous opportunity for those waiting to ‘buy the dip,’” Koreli said in a comment to Forbes.
Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, a cryptocurrency-focused investment firm founded by billionaire Mike Novogratz, believes the market is overestimating the potential impact. Of the 140,000 bitcoins held by the bankruptcy estate, only about 65,000 will be handed over to 20,000 individual creditors, many of whom are tech-savvy early adopters and well-known bitcoiners, Thorn noted in a research note to clients last seen by Forbes. month. These include co-founders of bitcoin technology firm Blockstream Adam Back and Greg Maxwell and longtime bitcoin booster Roger Ver.
A significant reason for lenders not to sell all of their tokens at once is the risk of a massive capital gains tax. Many creditors purchased their bitcoin for as little as $451 (the price when MtGox filed for bankruptcy), and with bitcoin now trading just below $60,000, the tax implications are considerable.
The remaining tokens will be sent to separate large claims and bankruptcy funds. Contrary to market expectations, Thorn suggested that these funds will not flood the market. “In speaking with several LPs in these funds, we do not believe there will be significant sales from this group. Likewise, Bitcoinica (a bitcoin exchange that was also hacked and whose administrator placed its recovered coins in Mt. Gox for safekeeping…) will not be able to sell for payment because the funds will enter their own bankruptcy process in New Zealand,” he said. he wrote.
Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at crypto asset manager Bitwise, agrees: “The best studies on MtGox claims suggest that most early investors have already sold their claims on the secondary claims market. For example, NYDIG has some quality research that suggests the actual amount likely to enter the market is closer to $3 billion than $10 billion. Still, $3 billion is a lot of bitcoin. I suspect what you are seeing now is market pre-positioning for these distributions. That makes this a ‘sell the rumor, buy the news’ event.”
Bitcoin cash, however, is expected to perform worse. It was created in 2017 as a result of a blockchain split when some developers were unhappy with Bitcoin’s scalability, according to CoinGecko. “The creditor group is significantly comprised of ‘OG’ bitcoiners who have never purchased bitcoin cash and will likely have no affinity for the 2017 bitcoin fork,” Thorn wrote, noting that bitcoin has 60 times more liquidity than bitcoin cash in the Kraken and Bitstamp, where individual lenders will receive coins.
All known MtGox admin wallet addresses can be tracked via Arkham Intelligence.
Bitcoin recently traded at $59,026, according to CoinGecko, down 8.3% in the last 24 hours.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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