News
Positive Correlation Between Bitcoin and Stocks Is ‘Here to Stay’
Bitcoin (BTC-USD exchange rate) is finding stable ground after a series of volatility in recent months since it hit an all-time price high in early 2024. Additionally, the cryptocurrency space has seen gains in ethereum (ETH-USD) regarding the launch of spot ether ETFs after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved such product offerings in late May.
Ben McMillan, Chief Investment Officer at IDX Advisors, shares his crypto outlook based on ETF inflows, comments from traditional investors like Peter Thiel, and whether President Biden or former President Trump will win over crypto enthusiasts in the upcoming election.
“If you look at the correlation of Bitcoin to stocks in general… it was very low pre-COVID. And then post-COVID, specifically post-money printing, you saw that spike in correlation. And that makes a lot of sense. We think it’s here to stay. Now, that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be as high as it has been recently forever,” McMillan tells Market Domination Overtime. “It’s running at about a 0.6 correlation. But we’re not going back to the days when Bitcoin was zero or even negatively correlated to risk assets. So… investors need to understand that the positive correlation to risk assets of Bitcoin is here to stay. That’s something to consider when you think about it in your portfolios.”
For more in-depth insights and the latest market action, click Here to watch the full episode of Market Domination Overtime.
This post was written by Luca Carberry Mogan.
Video Transcription
Bitcoin is regaining momentum as we begin the second half of the year, with prices up about 2% today.
The rally now follows a down quarter for the cryptocurrency, still down about 12% from its March high, as investor enthusiasm around Bitcoin ETS cools.
What can investors expect in the second half of the year? To help us answer this question and more, we spoke to Ben McMillan, Chief Investment Officer at ID X Advisors.
Ben, it’s good to see you.
And here we are, at the beginning of the second half of the year for cryptocurrencies.
I think a lot of people at home are wondering whether or not we’re going to see this kind of revival of enthusiasm in the cryptocurrency market.
More specifically, what will it take for Bitcoin to regain some of that momentum?
Well, I mean, we have a couple of near-term catalysts to watch with interest, the first of which is the presumption of a spot Ethereum ETF that could really cut them as early as this week.
We have seen a lot of excitement about this, especially now that cryptocurrency market adoption is starting to expand.
The story continues
I think the spot S ETF has done a great job, for lack of a better term, of getting the idea of Bitcoin out to a broader audience that, you know, probably never would have thought of it.
Otherwise we’ve heard those conversations with, you know, we’ve heard those conversations with advisors and institutional investors that we’ve talked to that once the Blackrock ETF suddenly came to market, they started, you know, looking at it more carefully for their, you know, so-called 6040 portfolios.
But I think a lot will depend on the macroeconomic performance of the third quarter: you know, Bitcoin is, for better or worse, highly correlated to the NASDAQ.
It looks and feels very much like a very high beta growth stock and, you know, to the extent that we see the emergence of a recession in the United States, even if it’s a shallow one, and we start to see a rotation out of the higher beta, you know, technology-type stocks.
I think this could weigh on Bitcoin, you know, but I would also like to know your opinion on another topic.
I don’t know if you’ve seen this, but billionaire Peter Thiel was on another network recently and he talked about Bitcoin and it was interesting Ben, just because he didn’t seem as enthusiastic as a lot of people might imagine.
He, he hasn’t listened yet, he, he holds some Bitcoin but he said he’s not sure the price will go up dramatically from here.
I was just curious, Ben, what did you think of those comments?
Um, do those comments matter, Ben?
You know, I saw it too.
I found this interesting because it is hard not to be structurally bullish on cryptocurrencies in general at this point in the cycle.
It is still very early to talk about adoption rates, and it is still very early in terms of use cases, much of what we have seen is just a glimpse of what cryptocurrencies can do to facilitate real-world outcomes.
Um, you know, we saw a glimpse of that with a kind of summer web three.
You know, the idea of, of, of sort of smart contracts and, and things like ordinals, you know, that extend out into the broader world.
So, you know, it’s hard, it’s hard to see how this is in any sense the end of the Bitcoin run.
I, I just don’t see it right now, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be volatility in the future.
And again, you know, Bitcoin, you know, Bitcoin will go where the macroeconomic environment goes.
So I think it’s important to be cautious with investors, because, as you know, just because the history or the secular thesis of Series B is intact, it doesn’t mean there’s going to be direct growth.
But I, I have a hard time believing that, you know, Bitcoin isn’t going to set new highs in the next, you know, 12 to 24 months from here, Ben, you just mentioned that correlation a couple of times here just in terms of what we’ve seen with some of those riskier assets and the price of Bitcoin.
We, we take a look at this correlation.
Does this make sense?
Given some of the activity that we’ve seen before over the last 12 months, and I guess, going from there, what does that tell us about what those activities could or should potentially look like in the coming months?
Yes, that’s a great question.
And it’s, it’s one of those times where, you know, we were, we were very reticent, if you look at the correlation of Bitcoin, so stocks in general or, you know, or tech stocks in particular, it was very low before COVID.
And then after COVID, particularly after, quote unquote, the money printing, you saw that spike in correlation and that makes a lot of sense.
We believe this situation is here to stay.
That doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be as high as it’s ever been recently, you know, it’s hovering around a 0.6 correlation, but we’re not going back to the days when Bitcoin was, you know, zero or even negatively correlated to risk assets.
So, you know, investors need to understand that the positive correlation with risk assets of a Bitcoin is here to stay.
It’s something to, you know, it’s something to consider when you think about your portfolios.
But that doesn’t mean it can’t sometimes move a little differently or have any diversification benefits.
But again, we always caution investors, think of Bitcoin as a very high beta, you know, high or long-duration type of technology and, you know, in the context of your portfolios because that correlation, you know, will have peaks and troughs around 0.5-0.6, but it will not go back to zero.
It certainly won’t go back to negative, with any kind of long-term structural result.
So I think, you know, you can think of it as a high-beta technology stock.
Ben, are you surprised how cryptocurrencies have become an issue in this presidential election?
And, and do you think Ben, is there a candidate between Biden and Trump who will have an easier time winning over the crypto-loving crowd?
Well, yeah, I mean, what’s interested me in this election cycle is the degree to which crypto PACs have shown up en masse with a lot of money and have already affected the results and, and in some ways, you know, the congressional elections, you know, we’ve seen the one in the Bronx, there was a big one in California and, you know, the crypto PAC, you know, Fair Shake and some of the others, you know, have spent real money to support pro-crypto candidates.
So I think the interesting thing is that now cryptocurrencies have suddenly become a force to be reckoned with.
And I think politicians on both sides are taking note of this situation.
Um, you know, I also think the cryptocurrency community in general is in favor of a positive outcome for Trump.
You know, if you know Trump, I think he had a strategy of courting the cryptocurrency community, saying he was going to do a lot of good things for the industry.
But I think even if you greatly underestimate the fact that it would probably be a minimum, it would be a much more laissez faire approach than we’ve seen so far.
You know, Biden is driving a lot of the cryptocurrency hype over Trump.
But yeah, I mean, I think the biggest thing, at least for me, has been how active and how big the cryptocurrency lobby has become in this election cycle.
And I think this trend is here to stay.
Yes, Ben, don’t tell us anything else about the meaning and influence of all this.
Maybe you think this is broader, even beyond the election.
Well, yeah, I mean, it’s, you know, it’s interesting because I think it’s going to force a little bit more thoughtful storytelling.
And I think I have to say, you know, I think the cryptocurrency lobby has done a great job, you know, making it clear that this is a source of innovation for America.
So, you know, we’re not asking for any kind of special treatment.
We’re simply asking legislators and policymakers to look at encryption as a technology, as a source of information, and not just rule it out as the domain of illicit criminals and money launderers and things like that, which is kind of the first narrative or the first rhetoric that we heard from some members of Congress a couple of years ago.
And so I think it was, I think it started from a good premise.
I think that makes a lot of sense.
And I think it’s actually having an impact in terms of educating members of Congress and politicians and, don’t forget, record numbers of people own cryptocurrency.
You know, if you look at the estimates, it’s over 60 million people.
So, again, it’s no longer a marginal thing.
It’s about a lot of Americans that people are paying a lot of attention to, you know, especially when you consider things like, you know, federally backed CBD CS and the potential privacy issues around that.
You know, it’s starting to occupy a prominent position in the minds of many Americans.
Well.
It’s a pleasure to have you on the program.
Thanks for taking the time to chat with us today.
Absolutely.
Thank you.
News
Block Investors Need More to Assess Crypto Unit’s Earnings Potential, Analysts Say — TradingView News
Block, a payments technology company led by Jack Dorsey square could become a formidable player in the cryptocurrency mining industry, but Wall Street will need details on profit margins to gauge the positive impact of the business on earnings, analysts said.
Block signed its first large-scale cryptocurrency mining hardware pact on Wednesday, agreeing to supply its chips to bitcoin miner Core Scientific 
CORZbut no financial details were disclosed.
JP Morgan estimates the deal could net Block between $225 million and $300 million, but said more information will be needed to assess the hardware business’s long-term earnings potential.
“We still have a lot to learn in terms of the margins of this business, so we are hesitant to underwrite this transaction until we know more about the cadence and economics,” J.P. Morgan said.
The deal marks a major step for the payments company, which started out as “Square” in 2009 before rebranding in 2021 in a nod to its focus on crypto and blockchain technologies.
Dorsey, who co-founded and ran Twitter (now known as “X”), has long been bullish on Bitcoin. Block began investing 10% of its monthly gross profit from Bitcoin products into Bitcoin in April.
In the first quarter, nearly 9% of the company’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities consisted of bitcoin.
“This development (the deal with Core Scientific) is further evidence of Block’s role as an emerging leader in the crypto hardware ecosystem,” Macquarie analysts Paul Golding and Emma Liang wrote in a note.
Analysts say similar deals to follow could further validate Block’s reputation in the industry.
But J.P. Morgan said the stock’s performance will be determined by Block’s other segments, such as Square and Cash App.
Block shares have lost nearly 17% this year.
3:30 PM ▪ 4 minute read ▪ by Luc Jose A.
This Thursday, attention will be focused on the United States with the anticipated release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This economic indicator could trigger significant movements in the markets, especially for the U.S. dollar and cryptocurrencies. While investors remain vigilant, speculation is rife about the potential impact of these key figures.
The Consumer Price Index: The Cornerstone of the American Economy
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key measure of inflation which reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by American households. This index is calculated monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and serves as a barometer for the cost of living. The consumer price index covers a wide range of products, including food, clothing, housing, health care, and entertainment. Economists and policy makers closely monitor this data to anticipate economic trends and adjust monetary policies accordingly.
The June CPI data is due to be released this Thursday at 2:30 p.m., and is highly anticipated by investors. The current consensus is for headline annual inflation to decline to 3.1%, from 3.3% the previous month, while core inflation is expected to remain stable at 3.4%.
THE BIGGEST EVENT THIS WEEK 🚨
The U.S. Consumer Price Index is expected to
PUBLICATION TODAY AT 8:30 AM ET.EXPECTATIONS ARE 3.1% WHILE
LAST MONTH THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) WAS 3.3%HERE ARE SOME SCENARIOS 👇
1) CPI above 3.1%
THIS WILL BE A DAMAGE TO THE MARKET
GIVEN THAT THE LAST TIME THE CPI DATA… photo.twitter.com/yudjPLPl8g— Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) July 11, 2024
Consumer Price Index Release: What Does It Mean for the Dollar and Bitcoin?
Inflation as measured by the consumer price index is a key determinant of the value of the US dollar. If the consumer price index declines more than expected, it could reinforce expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, thus weakening the dollar. A weaker dollar could benefit GBP/USD, which recently broke a major resistance level, and Bitcoin, which could see its price rise due to increased demand from institutional investors.
Current forecasts suggest that headline inflation will decline to 3.1%, with core inflation holding steady at 3.4%. However, a surprise increase in the consumer price index could upset these expectations. Fed Governor Lisa Cook has mentioned the possibility of a soft landing for the economy, with inflation falling without a significant increase in unemployment, which could lead the Fed to consider rate cuts. This outlook is particularly favorable for stock markets and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, which could benefit from a more accommodative monetary policy.
According to experts at 10x Research, especially their CEO Markus Thielen, Bitcoin could see a significant increase if the CPI data confirms a decline in inflation. Thielen indicated that Bitcoin could reach almost $60,000, a prediction that has already been reflected with a rise to $59,350 before the data was released.
Therefore, Thursday’s CPI data could determine the future direction of financial and cryptocurrency markets. High inflation could strengthen the US Dollarwhile a drop in inflation could pave the way for rate cuts by the Fed, thus giving a boost to Bitcoin and other digital assets.
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Luke Jose A.
A graduate of Sciences Po Toulouse and holder of a blockchain consultant certification issued by Alyra, I joined the Cointribune adventure in 2019. Convinced of the potential of blockchain to transform many sectors of the economy, I am committed to raising awareness and informing the general public about this ever-evolving ecosystem. My goal is to enable everyone to better understand blockchain and seize the opportunities it offers. Every day, I strive to provide an objective analysis of the news, decipher market trends, convey the latest technological innovations and put into perspective the economic and social issues of this ongoing revolution.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and should not be construed as investment advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin is seeing a rebound after its recent price crash to $53,000. Other altcoins are subsequently recovering, with many cryptocurrency investors increasingly making new entries. However, Santiment warned against this hopium, suggesting that Bitcoin could extend its price losses.
As the broader market anticipates Bitcoin’s next price action, RCO Finance (RCOF) demonstrates resilience, attracting thousands of people in influxes. Read on for more details!
RCO Finance challenges the market crisis
RCO Finance (RCOF) is approaching $1 million in funding raised, amid growing interest from institutional traders seeking stability from Bitcoin’s wild price swings. While much of the broader market has seen significant price losses, RCO Finance has remained resilient, experiencing a surge in its pre-sale orders.
As a result, the project seems oblivious to the current market conditions, leading top market experts to take a deep dive into its ecosystem. They identified why RCO Finance was able to withstand the bearish pressure and its potential to hold up even stronger during the impending broader market crash.
The main reason was related to the innovative use of RCO Finance AI Trading Tools as a Robo Advisor. This tool has been integrated into RCO Finance’s cryptocurrency trading platform, offering full automation and highly accurate market forecasts to help investors make informed decisions.
Read on to learn more about this tool and other exciting features of RCO Finance!
Bitcoin Bounces Amid Impending Crash
Bitcoin is bouncing back, rallying 8% after plunging to its lowest point since February on July 5. While this rebound has triggered a bullish wave in the broader market, many cryptocurrency analysts predict it could be short-lived as Bitcoin is poised for an imminent crash toward the $50,000 zone.
On a Post X (formerly Twitter)Santiment revealed that while the crowd is anticipating a Bitcoin rally, this potential crash could trigger FUD and panic, causing average traders to wither and give up on Bitcoin. The platform noted that Bitcoin rally has historically occurred after these weak hands sold their holdings.
In particular, these cryptocurrency analysts speculate that the previous and upcoming Bitcoin crash is largely the result of bearish market psychology, as opposed to large BTC sell-offs by the German government and Mt. Gox. In particular, Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, noticed that “the sales were rather negligible, given the overall liquidity of Bitcoin.”
Enjoy seamless investing on RCO Finance
RCO Finance is making investing easier and easier, democratizing access to high-level tools and cryptocurrency earnings that were once reserved for professional and institutional investors. It has also prioritized accessibility, allowing investors of all levels to easily navigate its features through its intuitive interface.
Additionally, they can also maintain anonymity and privacy as the platform has no KYC requirements. To build trust, the platform has instead emphasized regular smart contract audits by respected security firm SolidProof.
Performance data shows massive adoption, indicating that it is doing its job effectively. Investors can also capitalize on RCO Finance’s fast transaction speeds and incredibly low transaction fees, with leverage options up to 1000x to further optimize their portfolios and maximize returns.
Leverage RCO Finance’s pre-sale earnings
An in-depth analysis of the RCO Finance ecosystem revealed that it has strong potential to rival and surpass major cryptocurrencies in the cryptocurrency industry. With a very limited total token supply and excellent tokenomics, RCO Finance is poised to reach its target of $1 billion in market cap upon its official launch.
RCO Finance has adopted a deflationary model, strategic burn mechanisms, and a vesting schedule. However, the project encourages long-term holding by focusing on sustained growth through incredibly high staking rewards.
RCOF tokens are currently available at an altcoin price of $0.01275 in progress Pre-sale Phase 1. This is likely the lowest price these coins will ever trade at, as they are expected to increase exponentially with each new presale phase.
With RCOF expected to be $0.4 at launch, investors jumping in now can expect a Return 30x on their investment!
For more information on RCO Finance (RCOF) presale:
Join the RCO Financial Community
Disclaimer: The statements, views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the content provider and do not necessarily represent those of Crypto Reporter. Crypto Reporter is not responsible for the reliability, quality and accuracy of any material in this article. This article is provided for educational purposes only. Crypto Reporter is not responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article. Do your own research and invest at your own risk.
Although Bitget is not the largest cryptocurrency exchange in terms of total volumes, it closed a favorable quarter. From April to June, the platform ranked third in net capital inflows and showed the strongest growth in market share compared to its competitors.
In the second quarter, investors moved $700 million into Bitget, and activity on the platform increased by nearly 50%.
The exchange has seen a surge in user funds, with Bitcoin (BTC), Tether (USDT), and Ethereum (ETH) rising 73%, 80%, and 153%, respectively, in the first six months of the year. This growth coincided with adding 2.9 million new users to the platform.
This has positioned Bitget among the top exchanges with the highest positive net inflows in the last quarter. Only Binance, which remains the market leader, and Bitfinex have performed better in this category.
According to CCData’s latest H2 Outlook Report, the exchange also recorded the highest market share growth among centralized exchanges, increasing 38.4% from H2 2023 to H1 2024.
Bitget’s spot trading volume has also seen a visible increase, going from $28 billion in Q1 to $32 billion in Q2, marking an increase of over 10%. The platform’s monthly visitors have reached 10 million. Although its volumes are increasing, Bitget still does not rank among the top 10 cryptocurrency exchanges in terms of spot trading.
The changes taking place in the centralized cryptocurrency exchange market show that competition is becoming more and more intenseAn example of this is the recent surge in popularity of Bybit, which has become the second largest exchange in terms of spot trading volumes.
Sports Sponsorships and New Products
Gracy Chen, Source: LinkedIn
Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, commented on the quarterly performance, saying, “Q2 2024 was a pivotal period for Bitget. Our collaboration with Turkish athletes, along with significant growth in users and website traffic, is part of our global expansion.”
In an effort to expand its global presence, Bitget has partnered with three Turkish national athletes as part of its #MakeItCount campaign, starring Lionel Messi. The deal with the famous footballer It was signed in Februaryto build brand presence in Latin America.
The exchange also launched a $20 million TON Ecosystem Fund in partnership with Foresight Ventures to support early-stage projects on The Open Network.
The exchange introduced two new initial token listing products, PoolX and Pre-market, which collectively launched over 100 projects. Additionally, Bitget’s native token, BGB, was recognized as the best-performing centralized exchange token in June and was ranked among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by Forbes.
In its latest move, the cryptocurrency exchange aimed to become a regulated player in IndiaThe announcement comes as the world’s most populous democracy grapples with the complexities of integrating cryptocurrencies into its financial ecosystem.
Even recently,
Bitget Wallet Announced a joint investment with cryptocurrency investment firm Foresight X in Tomarket, a decentralized trading platform. This initiative targets emerging asset classes and aims to expand the portfolio’s services beyond traditional decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
Although Bitget is not the largest cryptocurrency exchange in terms of total volumes, it closed a favorable quarter. From April to June, the platform ranked third in net capital inflows and showed the strongest growth in market share compared to its competitors.
In the second quarter, investors moved $700 million into Bitget, and activity on the platform increased by nearly 50%.
The exchange has seen a surge in user funds, with Bitcoin (BTC), Tether (USDT), and Ethereum (ETH) rising 73%, 80%, and 153%, respectively, in the first six months of the year. This growth coincided with adding 2.9 million new users to the platform.
This has positioned Bitget among the top exchanges with the highest positive net inflows in the last quarter. Only Binance, which remains the market leader, and Bitfinex have performed better in this category.
According to CCData’s latest H2 Outlook Report, the exchange also recorded the highest market share growth among centralized exchanges, increasing 38.4% from H2 2023 to H1 2024.
Bitget’s spot trading volume has also seen a visible increase, going from $28 billion in Q1 to $32 billion in Q2, marking an increase of over 10%. The platform’s monthly visitors have reached 10 million. Although its volumes are increasing, Bitget still does not rank among the top 10 cryptocurrency exchanges in terms of spot trading.
The changes taking place in the centralized cryptocurrency exchange market show that competition is becoming increasingly intenseAn example of this is the recent surge in popularity of Bybit, which has become the second largest exchange in terms of spot trading volumes.
Sports Sponsorships and New Products
Gracy Chen, Source: LinkedIn
Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, commented on the quarterly performance, saying, “Q2 2024 was a pivotal period for Bitget. Our collaboration with Turkish athletes, along with significant growth in users and website traffic, is part of our global expansion.”
In an effort to expand its global presence, Bitget has partnered with three Turkish national athletes as part of its #MakeItCount campaign, starring Lionel Messi. The deal with the famous footballer It was signed in Februaryto build brand presence in Latin America.
The exchange also launched a $20 million TON Ecosystem Fund in partnership with Foresight Ventures to support early-stage projects on The Open Network.
The exchange introduced two new initial token listing products, PoolX and Pre-market, which collectively launched over 100 projects. Additionally, Bitget’s native token, BGB, was recognized as the best-performing centralized exchange token in June and was ranked among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by Forbes.
In its latest move, the cryptocurrency exchange aimed to become a regulated player in IndiaThe announcement comes as the world’s most populous democracy grapples with the complexities of integrating cryptocurrencies into its financial ecosystem.
Even recently,
Bitget Wallet Announced a joint investment with cryptocurrency investment firm Foresight X in Tomarket, a decentralized trading platform. This initiative targets emerging asset classes and aims to expand the portfolio’s services beyond traditional decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
The race is becoming crazy! Bitcoin goes over $ 850 Max Keizer 1
Bitcoin Big Bang is near – Lyn Alden emits a red code.
Once this happens, Bitcoin is pushing towards $ 200k without brakes – Matt Hugan
The next Bitcoin event will be so large, it will make 2021 look like heating – James Lumo
I’m 100% sure that Bitcoin will challenge the financial rules and soon reach $ 1 million
DeFi Technologies Appoints Andrew Forson to Board of Directors
US Agencies Request Information on Bank-Fintech Dealings
Block Investors Need More to Assess Crypto Unit’s Earnings Potential, Analysts Say — TradingView News
Switchboard Revolutionizes DeFi with New Oracle Aggregator
Bitcoin and Technology Correlation Collapses Due to Excess Supply
The race is becoming crazy! Bitcoin goes over $ 850 Max Keizer 1
Bitcoin Big Bang is near – Lyn Alden emits a red code.
Once this happens, Bitcoin is pushing towards $ 200k without brakes – Matt Hugan
The next Bitcoin event will be so large, it will make 2021 look like heating – James Lumo
I’m 100% sure that Bitcoin will challenge the financial rules and soon reach $ 1 million
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