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Altcoins over Bitcoin? Analyzing the Potential of an Altcoin Season

FinCrypt Staff

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Impending Altcoin Season: Data Shows It’s Closer Than Ever

In recent months, altcoin prices have dropped by 30% to 70%, leading analysts to dismiss the possibility of an altcoin season. But when armed with new information, BeInCrypto finds that things may be about to change.

This analysis clarifies the logic behind the thinking and offers insights into potential catalysts.

Early days, but signs have already appeared

Altcoin season is a market phase where non-Bitcoin (BTC) cryptocurrencies are seeing a consistent increase in value, outperforming the number one coin.

One of the indicators that validates this period is TOTAL2, which is the total crypto market cap excluding BTC. When this market cap increases, it lends credibility to the potential rise in altcoin prices.

However, a decrease implies that Bitcoin is dominating the market. At the time of publication, the total altcoin market cap stood at $940.37 billion — an increase of 4.87% in the last 24 hours. The same market cap initially fell by 23.26% between June 6 and July 8.

Read more: What are the best altcoins to invest in in July 2024

Crypto Market Cap Excluding BTC Daily Chart. Source: Trading view

If the indicator continues to rise, the altcoin season will be closer. The last time this happened was between February and March. At that time, the value of TOTAL2 went from $753.83 billion to $1.24 trillion in one month.

Following the recent shift, analysts at X seem to be changing their stance, favoring the dominance of altcoins. One of them is Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading.

“Altcoin market cap has reached a crucial higher term support level and is finding support here. It is still early in the week, but if this week continues with this upward trend then the signs will start to improve.” van de Poppe gave an opinion on X.

Bitcoin Dominance Recedes, Could Open Doors for Altcoins

Besides opinions, another factor that determines whether it is time for altcoins to shine is Bitcoin dominance. For the cycle to be validated, BTC.D has to decline.

Bitcoin DominanceBitcoin Dominance Weekly chart. Source: Trading view

Using the weekly chart, we see that BTC.D fell from 62.69% in March 2021 to 40.89% in May 2021. History shows that this was the same period when many altcoins reached their all-time highs in the last bull market.

This week, dominance dropped from 55.04% to 54.68%, indicating that some altcoins have started to outperform BTC.

For that mirror the performance shown in 2021, at least 75% of the top 50 altcoins need to outperform Bitcoin.

According to data from Blockchaincenter, only some cryptocurrencies including meme coinshave done so. Some of them include Toncoin (TON), Pepe (PEPE), Kaspa (KAS), and Bonk (BONK).

As a result, the Altcoin Season Index for the past 90 days remains at 29. However, this is an improvement from the reading a few days ago, when it was 25.

If the index continues to reach higher values, altcoins will come closer to retesting their all-time highs, putting BTC at a disadvantage in the process.

Read more: What are Altcoins? A Guide to Alternative Cryptocurrencies

Altcoin Price PerformanceTop 50 Altcoins 90-day performance. Source: Blockchain Center

Ethereum, the crucial role of Solana

Additionally, it is important to mention that Ethereum (ETH) has always acted as a catalyst to fuel altcoin dominance.

In recent months, ETH has underperformed BTC. However, the Ethereum ETFs imminent approval in sight could stimulate a notable increase in the value of ETH.

If this is the case, other altcoins could join the potential rally. In the case of Capo of Crypto, the update of ETH ETFs, as well as official filings for Solana VanEck and 21Shares ETFs are the reason why the analyst is bullish on altcoins.

“The German government’s selling pressure is being absorbed. All Ethereum spot ETF applicants have filed updated S-1s. VanEck and 21Shares have officially filed 19b-4s for Solana spot ETFs. I’m bullish for the coming weeks, especially on altcoins.” Capo of Crypto he wrote.

Based on the above analysis and market sentiment, altcoins appear poised for a major rally. However, traders need to keep an eye on the situation.

If selling pressure hits the market again, the rally could be invalidated. Furthermore, if Ethereum doesn’t receive impressive inflows into ETFs, cryptocurrencies may struggle to bounce.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate and unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and conditions, Privacy PolicyIt is Disclaimers have been updated.

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypt, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypt, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Markets

Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

FinCrypt Staff

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Crypto Markets Rebound Ahead of Early Ethereum ETF Approval

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.

Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.

Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.

Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.

Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.

Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.

U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

FinCrypt Staff

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.

Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis

O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.

The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.

Arweave (AR) Price Analysis

Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.

AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.

Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)

Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.

INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

FinCrypt Staff

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.

ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.

ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment

Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.

According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.

On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.

The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.

Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.

One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.

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Markets

Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

FinCrypt Staff

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Bits + Bips: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Crypto After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?

Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.

Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.

In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.

They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?

They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).

Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?

Program Highlights:

  • Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
  • How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
  • Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
  • How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
  • What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
  • Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
  • What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
  • Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
  • What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week

Hosts:

Guest:

  • Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures

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