Markets
Mt. Gox and the German government have sunk the cryptocurrency market
Binance Research has released a report on the cryptocurrency market for June 2024.
According to the latest researchmarket capitalization fell by 11.4% over the month. However, this trend is typical for June — in the last five years, the cryptocurrency market has closed June with a positive indicator only twice.
Source: Binance Research
Furthermore, nine out of ten assets by market cap ended the month in the red. According to experts, this decline was caused by news about payments to Mt. Gox and the movement of Bitcoins by the US and German governments (BTC) for centralized exchanges.
Dive into the cryptocurrency market
Growth leaders
One of the few tokens that has grown is Toncoin (TONNE). The asset grew by 17.5% to reach an all-time high of $8.24. Binance Research attributed this growth to the success of The Open League program and ecosystem support through grants. Additionally, the number of daily active addresses on the network reached a record high of nearly 578,000.
TON has also had remarkable success in attracting TVL entries in sectors such as Telegram mini-applications and games, definition, NFTsand memecoins.
“TON also continued its remarkable growth trajectory with a 109% increase in TVL month-over-month, reaching another all-time high of $685.9 million.”
Binance Research Report
Airdrops
Additionally, the report mentions airdrops. In June, token distributions were conducted through several projects, including LayerZero, ZKsync, Blast, and Eigenlayer.
For LayerZero, the protocol identified over 803,000 addresses as potential Sybil wallets. These addresses received only 15% of the original allocation, with the remaining 85% redistributed to 1.28 million eligible addresses.
“LayerZero Foundation has implemented a ‘Proof of Donation’ claiming mechanism, which has received mixed reactions from the community.”
Binance Research Report
The NFT sector continues to face tough times
The NFT sector also showed no growth. Sales totaled $46 million, down 26.2% from May.
Source: Binance Search
The leader in monthly sales volume was the DMarket NFT marketplace. DMarket, the in-game item platform on Mythos, led the way with the highest monthly sales at $18.9 million, followed by CryptoPunks at $16.1 million. Ordinals’ top collections, such as Bitcoin Puppets and NodeMonkes, saw declines in sales, down 40.6% and 41%, respectively.
“Across major chains, NFT sales volumes have declined considerably. Bitcoin and Ethereum saw a 48.2% and 50.2% drop, respectively, indicating the waning of the initial Bitcoin NFT hype.”
Binance Research Report
Miners are selling bitcoins
As for miners, they have been selling BTC consistently since November 2023. This is the longest consecutive period of net sellers since 2017. As a result, BTC balances among miners have reached their lowest level in the last 14 years. Analysts attribute this to the halving.
Source: Binance Research
“Given that the block reward represents the income of most miners, many miners have been forced to sell their assets to survive.”
Binance Research Report
What happened in the cryptocurrency market in May?
A month earlier, Binance Research revealed a report for May 2024. According to previous analysis, the cryptocurrency market recovered in May and recorded an increase in capitalization by 8.6%. At the same time, the cryptocurrency market closed in positive dynamics for the third time. Before that, negative dynamics were observed from 2021 to 2023.
Furthermore, all crypto assets in the top 10 by capitalization ended the month in positive territory. The leader among them was Solana (SUN), with growth of 33.9%. Ethereum (ETH) is in second place, and Toncoin is in third place.
The NFT market also closed with a drawdown. Total sales were $0.63 billion, down 41% compared to April 2024.
What to expect in July
Bitcoin ended June down 7%. This is the second month in 2024 that BTC ended with a decline in value. In April, losses reached almost 15%; in other months, BTC showed growth with dynamics ranging from 1% to 44%.
According to historical data from Coin GlassThe cryptocurrency market typically shows growth in July, with an average growth rate of 7.3%. Analysis since 2013 has shown seven successful months with growth of up to 24%, while only five months were unprofitable with a decline of at least 10%.
Source: Coin Glass
Two significant events are planned for the second month of summer, which are being followed by the entire cryptocurrency market — Cryptocurrency payments for Mt. Gox customerswhich they have been waiting for ten years, is the event that causes unrest in the community due to the possible impact of sales on the price.
The crypto community is also anticipating the possible launch of Ethereum spot ETFs. Their approval could be a strong driver for the growth of the cryptocurrency market. On July 8, several companies issuing spot Ethereum ETFs submitted updated applications on Form S-1 to the SEC.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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