Markets
The positive effect of Trump news on Bitcoin price

Over the weekend, a seemingly negative piece of news about Donald Trump had a positive effect on the price of Bitcoin.
Looking at it more closely, however, the news doesn’t seem negative at all.
Donald Trump News and Its Impact on Bitcoin Price
The news is obviously the attempted assassination of Donald Trump.
On Saturday afternoon, in fact, Joe Biden’s opponent in the November presidential elections was the victim of an attack while holding a rally in Pennsylvania.
The assailant, one Thomas Matthew Crooks, shot him from about a hundred yards away, wounding him.
Trump was immediately protected by security personnel and ultimately suffered only minor superficial injuries to his face and ears.
Today he is expected in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, for another election rally.
While this may seem like negative news for Donald Trump, it actually had positive consequences for him as well, as he was not seriously injured.
Polls show that surviving the attack earned him even more support, so much so that he is now considered much more favored compared to Biden.
In fact, he was already ahead before the attack, especially after the televised debate between the two, in which Biden seemed apathetic and dazed, but since yesterday the difference seems to have increased, so much so that at this moment Trump is considered the big favorite.
.@Polymarket – Swing State Probabilities
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 67% (new record)
🟦 Biden: 33%
—
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 65% (new record)
🟦 Biden: 35%
—
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 61% (new record)
🟦 Biden: 39%
—
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 78% (new record)
🟦 Biden: 22%
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 79%
🟦 Biden: 21%… photo.twitter.com/J4YZrKFyWZ— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 14, 2024
The Bitcoin Price Consequences of Trump News
Before the attack, the Bitcoin price on Saturday it was around $58,000.
By the time the news began to circulate, it had fallen to $57,000, but with a far from decisive, albeit rapid, decline. In fact, it had simply returned to its Friday morning levels.
However, when news began circulating that Trump had only been grazed, the price of BTC returned to $58,000, erasing all losses.
At that moment, however, something happened.
Some photos of the attack began to circulate, especially on X, which attracted a lot of support for Donald Trump.
The most powerful of these was also shared by Elon Musk, who expressed full support for the Republican candidate.
In the world of finance, the terms “bull” and “bear” are commonly used to describe market trends. A “bull” market is characterized by an increase in stock prices, while a “bear” market is characterized by a decrease in stock prices.
This dynamic made financial markets believe that Trump’s chances of winning had become significant, and since Trump is a pro-crypto president, this had positive effects on cryptocurrency markets.
The Rise of Cryptocurrency Markets
At this point, the price of Bitcoin began to rise, first above $60,000 yesterday, and today also above $62,000.
These are values that have not been seen since the first of July and are in line with those of mid-May and the end of February.
With yesterday’s and today’s high, it seems that the correction that began last Tuesday, which led the price of BTC to record new post-halving lows, has come to an end.
But it’s not just Bitcoin to rise again.
For example, Ethereum, for which the launch of new ETH spot ETFs on US stock exchanges is expected soon, has returned above $3,300 after falling below $2,900 last week.
Taking prices from seven days ago as a reference, Bitcoin is at +12%, Ethereum at +14%, BNB at +10% and Solana at +15%. XRP is at +25%, but overall, Ripple’s cryptocurrency is following a slightly different trend than the others.
Cardano is also up +20%, while TON is an exception, stopping at +4%.
It is worth noting, however, that in the medium term, and especially since the beginning of the year, BTC and ETH are respectively at +49% and +47%, while XRP is at -13% and ADA at -26%.
So, the increase was felt by a little bit by everyone, in the short term, while in the medium term there are still significant differences.
Trump and cryptocurrencies
In the 4 years of Joe Biden’s democratic administration, US government officials have frequently attacked the cryptocurrency sector, most notably the SEC.
Furthermore, the processing of the bill drafted by Congress to regulate the sector was interrupted.
Republican Donald Trump, on the other hand, is much more supportive of cryptocurrencies, both because he owns a large amount of them himself and because he has publicly expressed his support for the sector.
In fact, precisely for this reason, he received several certificates of support and backing from the world of cryptocurrencies, including from the founder of Tron, Justin Sun.
Given this, it is easy to understand why the widening gap in the polls between challenger Trump and President Biden has had a positive impact on cryptocurrency prices.
Furthermore, after a tough week – the last one – it was already clear by Friday that the ongoing correction was over. At that point, it was absolutely reasonable to expect a recovery, and the aforementioned news did nothing but trigger a recovery that was probably already ready to happen.
Waiting for autumn
However, one should not celebrate victory too soon.
First, it is not certain that the medium/long-term trend has reversed.
In fact, the lateralization of Bitcoin’s price that began at the end of February is still alive, causing it to always fluctuate within a range between US$57,000 and US$72,000, with rare exceptions above and below.
In March, it remained above $72,000 for about three days, while about ten days ago it fell below $57,000 for two days, returning to that level again on July 8.
These small and brief excursions above and below the price range that have been maintained since the end of February actually have very little importance in the medium/long term, unless they occur frequently and, above all, last longer.
Therefore, on the one hand, the sideways period persists despite the brief dip below $57,000 last week, while on the other hand, there are no clear signs of a possible breakout above the $72,000 wall in the near term.
It could all be delayed until the fall, given that November could be a particularly hot month for Bitcoin, even though markets often try to anticipate events. In this case, if the bullish breakout is expected in the fall, it is possible that markets could start pricing it in as early as late August.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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