Markets
Stocks Fall After Strong Jobs Report; Jump in Treasury Yields
Stock indexes close: Strong jobs report weighs on commodities, consumers and construction companies
June 7, 2024, 4:13 pm EDT
The Dow Jones
3M (MMM) rose 2.7% after being upgraded from “neutral” to “buy” by Bank of America.
Litter (AAPL) added 1.2% before its Worldwide Developer Conference on Monday when it is expected to reveal several new AI capabilities.
Consumer stocks weighed on the index, including Walmart (WMT), down 1.9%, and McDonald’s (DCM), drop of 1.8%.
The S&P 500
Air and Chemical Products (DPA) rose 3.6% after the company signed an agreement with TotalEnergies (TTE) to supply green hydrogen to the French oil and gas company.
The financial sector outperformed on Friday. Capital One (COF) rose 2.6%, while Discover Financial (DFS) gained 1.8% and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) advanced 1.6%.
Eli Lilly (LLY) gained 1.5% after FDA researchers expressed no concerns about the company’s experimental Alzheimer’s drug, donanemab. A special panel will meet next week to advise on approval of the drug.
Newmont gold miner (NOR) fell 5% as Treasury yields rose and gold prices fell after Friday’s jobs report. Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), another major mining company, fell 3.8% as copper prices fell.
Homebuilders declined as Friday’s jobs report threatened to keep mortgage interest rates high longer than anticipated. Pulte Group (PHM) fell 2.5% and DR Horton (DHI) fell 2.4%.
Nvidia (NVDA) fell 0.1% before its 10-for-1 stock splitwhich will come into force before markets open on Monday.
Nasdaq 100
Cybersecurity stocks rose across the board on Friday. CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) gained 2.5%, while Palo Alto Networks (PANW) advanced 2% and ZScaler (ZS) rose 1.2%.
Biogen (BIIB) fell 2.8% following the FDA’s review of Eli Lilly’s donanemab, which would compete directly with Biogen’s Leqembi if approved.
Chip stocks fell as rising Treasury yields weighed on growth stocks. ASML Participation (ASML) fell 2.3% and Qualcomm (QCOM) fell 1.4%.
What could Friday’s stock split do for Nvidia?
June 7, 2024, 3:09 pm EDT
Nvidia (NVDA) shares were little changed on Friday ahead of a 10-for-1 split set to take effect after the close.
Nvidia shares were trading at $1,208 with about an hour left in the session. If the stock closed at that price, the stock would open at a price of about $120.80 and investors would have ten times as much stock on Monday morning.
After a stock split, some investors may find the stock price more affordable and decide to buy, increasing demand and, in turn, leading to an increase in share price. For example, when Amazon (AMZN) executed a 20-for-1 stock split in 2022, shares rose on the days following the division.
A stock split can also signal to the market that the company’s share price has increased enough to justify the change and investors may believe that this growth will continue in the future.
“Historically, stock splits have been bullish for companies that implement them, gaining 25% a year later versus 12% for the broad index,” according to Bank of America research.
The split could also increase Nvidia’s chances of joining an index like the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)since price-weighted indices like the Dow tend to avoid adding high-priced stocks because movements in their prices can have a disproportionate impact on the index.
Vail Resorts Shares Fall as Snowfall Low Impact on Q3 Earnings
June 7, 2024, 2:17 pm EDT
Vail Resorts Shares (MTN) fell on Friday, a day after the ski resort operator reported worse-than-expected results and lowered its guidance as a lack of snow reduced demand.
The company reported third quarter fiscal 2024 earnings per share (EPS) of $9.54, with revenue increasing 3.6% year over year to $1.28 billion. Both fell short of analyst estimates compiled by Visible Alpha.
Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Kirsten Lynch said Vail faced “unfavorable conditions at our North American resorts for much of the 2023/2024 North American ski season.” She noted that year-over-year snowfall totals were about 28% lower for the entire winter season at the company’s western North American resorts.
Vail now sees full-year net income attributable to the company in a range of $224 million to $256 million, down from its previous forecast of $270 million to $325 million.
Vail Resorts shares traded down 11.3% on Friday afternoon, near the lowest point since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.
GameStop Slides Further During Roaring Kitty Live Stream
June 7, 2024, 1:12 pm EDT
GameStop stock trading (GME) was interrupted several times on Friday afternoon as meme stock influencer Keith Gill hosted his first live broadcast in more than three years, fueling wild swings in the video game retailer’s share price.
Gill, who goes by Roaring Kitty online, began streaming around 12:25 p.m. and quickly amassed an audience of more than 600,000 viewers as he discussed in vague terms his confidence in GameStop and its CEO Ryan Cohen.
GameStop shares fell Friday morning after the company unexpectedly reported its quarterly earnings days before its scheduled release. GameStop’s revenue and profits fell short of Wall Street expectations. Stocks fell further during Gill’s live broadcast in erratic trading, start and stop.
Friday’s losses wiped more than $235 million from Gill’s position, which he first revealed on Sunday at 12:58 p.m. Still, Gill’s portfolio showed an unrealized gain of more than $146 million.
GameStop shares were down more than 38% as of 1:10 p.m. ET, but are still up 57% this year.
Docusign Revenue, Future Billing Raise Concerns, Stock Drops
June 7, 2024, 12:10 pm EDT
Document (DOCU) shares fell on Friday, a day after the document-signing software-only provider slightly exceeded revenue estimates and its billing guidance has raised concerns about growth.
The company reported the first quarter of fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.82, with revenue increasing 7.3% year over year to $709.6 million.
Revenue increased 5.2% to US$709.5 million. For the current quarter, Docusign forecasts revenue in the range of US$715.0 million to US$725.0 million, and between US$2.98 billion and US$3.03 billion for fiscal year 2025.
CFO Blake Grayson said the company anticipates the second quarter will have the lowest year-over-year booking growth rate in fiscal 2025, “particularly given comparisons to last year’s strong on-time renewal performance and timing impacts of various customer contracts.”
Docusign also announced that the board approved a $1 billion increase in company value share buyback program.
Docusign shares are down 5% and have lost 13% of their value this year.
GameStop Slips After Unexpectedly Reporting Earnings, Issuing More Shares
June 7, 2024, 11:27 am EDT
GameStop (GME) unexpectedly announced his fiscal 2024 first quarter report before the bell on Friday, with results falling short of analysts’ expectations, contributing to the stock’s recent volatility.
The company reported quarterly net sales of $882 million, down from $1.24 billion in the same period a year ago and below analyst expectations of $900 million, according to consensus estimates compiled by Visible Alpha.
Net losses were $32.3 million, or 11 cents per share, down from last year’s $50.5 million, or 17 cents per share, but slightly larger than analyst projections.
GameStop also said in a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) order would sell up to an additional 75 million shares, on top of the 45 million shares it recently sold for more than $900 million.
The unexpected gains came hours before meme stock influencer Keith Gill first Live broadcast in three years, scheduled for noon ET Friday. Gill, known as “Roaring Kitty” on YouTube and “DeepF—ingValue” on Reddit, was a top player in 2020 and 2021 meme stock craze. Gill recently began posting again after a hiatus of about three years, sending GameStop shares soaring and contributing to the stock’s volatility.
GameStop shares, which closed 47.5% higher on Thursday, have fallen more than 28%. However, they have more than doubled this year.
Stocks making the biggest moves in early trading
June 7, 2024, 10:10 am EDT
Earnings:
Lyft (LIFT): Shares rose 6%, continuing Thursday’s gains after the ride-sharing company gave an optimistic long-term prospects on your first day for investors.
Robinhood Markets (HOOD): Shares extended their gains and rose 1.2% after the online trading platform announced its acquisition of Bitstampa European cryptocurrency exchange, on Thursday.
Losses:
Document (DOCU): Shares fell 8% even with the electronic signature and document management company released financial and financial results that surpassed analysts’ forecasts.
GameStop (GME): Shares, which were halted twice this morning, fell 6% after the video game retailer unexpectedly reported results and announced plans to sell more shares for the second time in less than a month. The launch took place just hours before a Live stream on YouTube that meme stock influencer Keith Gill is scheduled for noon ET on Friday.
Nvidia (NVDA): Shares of the AI star fell 1.3% ahead of the chip designer’s 10-for-1 stock split after market closewith division-adjusted trading beginning on Monday.
Stock Futures Drop
June 7, 2024, 8:53 am EDT
Dow futures fell 0.3% in premarket trading Friday.
S&P futures fell 0.4%.
Nasdaq futures fell 0.3%.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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