Markets
Bitcoin outflows, altcoin inflows: Is a crypto market shift underway?

(Kitco News) – Digital asset investment products recorded their fourth consecutive week of outflows during the week ending May 3, with collective assets under management (AUM) decreasing by $251 million to $84.86 billion.
It was also “the first week that there were any measurable outflows from the recently issued ETFs in the US, which saw outflows of $156 million last week,” said James Butterfill, Head of Research at CoinShares. “We estimate that the average purchase price of these ETFs since launch is $62,200 per Bitcoin (Bitcoin), as the price fell 10% below this level, it may have triggered automatic sell orders.”
Outflows from spot BTC ETFs mean the US accounted for most of the decline in AUM, with outflows of $504 million, while Switzerland, Canada and Germany recorded withdrawals of $9.8 million, $9 .6 million and US$7.3 million, respectively.
“The bright spot from last week was the successful launch of spot-based Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong, which saw inflows of $307 million in the first week of trading,” said Butterfill.
In an unusual turn of events, Bitcoin was the only token to see outflows, with $284 million withdrawn from funds, while Ethereum (ETH) broke its seven-week outflow streak to record inflows of $30 million.
“A wide range of altcoins saw inflows, with the most significant being Avalanche, Cardano and Polkadot, registering $0.5 million, $0.4 million and $0.3 million respectively,” said Butterfill.
Foreign exchange flows decrease
Another set of flow data that cryptocurrency investors are watching is Bitcoin flows on cryptocurrency exchanges, which recently hit their lowest point in nearly a decade, suggesting that a bullish revival is on the horizon.
The number of people wanting to sell BTC has been decreasing since February 2018. The MA-365D exchange’s inflow fell from 90 thousand to 36 thousand.
The current trend for Bitcoin Exchange Inflow is 20 thousand BTC, a similar situation occurred in 2015.#deficit pic.twitter.com/YGNUOPBWqj
-Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) May 6, 2024
As shown in the chart provided by CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin flows on exchanges sit at 20,000 Bitcoin, the lowest the market has seen since 2015.
At the same time, Adler noted that long-term hodlers have also stopped distributing their tokens and started reaccumulating, which has been historically bullish.
Experienced investors Long Term Holders (LTH) at the 70K level have finished distributing coins to new investors.
This week the oscillator will turn blue 🔵, indicating the cohort’s transition to the active accumulation phase. pic.twitter.com/H7NYStSAZC
-Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) May 6, 2024
Data provided by Alternative shows that overall sentiment in the crypto market remains in “greed” territory, which some analysts say means more weakness is needed to ensure excess froth is cleared from the market.
But according to For analyst Kripto Mevsimi, this could soon change, as “we are approaching the ‘gray line’ [in the chart below]which serves as an optimism/pessimism threshold for the crypto market.”
“The blue line, which represents the proportion of the Bitcoin supply currently in profit, is notably high,” said Mevsimi. “This generally indicates that a significant portion of the market may be considering taking gains, potentially leading to increased selling pressure. Historically, these elevated levels have often preceded market volatility and potential recessions as holders began to liquidate their positions.”
As the metric approaches the gray line, “market participants must be vigilant; Crossing below this line could lead to a deeper price correction,” he warned. “However, if we remain above this line, market sentiment will likely remain positive and any correction may be short-lived.”
“Profitability is a crucial factor in market psychology, especially when macroeconomic conditions, such as current unfavorable economic expansionary monetary policies, do not favor risky assets,” concluded Mevsimi. “Participants should carefully monitor these dynamics as they can significantly influence market movements.”
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes. This is not a request to carry out any exchange of goods, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article accept no liability for loss and/or damage arising from the use of this publication.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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