Markets
Crypto Set for a “Bright June” According to Industry Experts
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The approval of spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETF) in the US sets a good tone for the crypto market in late Q2 2024. Investors’ eyes are on how the price of ETH will react, such as how the altcoin market will behave and which altcoin ETFs could be filed with the SEC in the coming weeks. Industry experts shared their insights on the June outlook with Crypto Briefing.
Tristan Frizza, founder of decentralized exchange Zeta Markets, stated that the crypto market will continue to see “choppy” action in the short term. However, Bitcoin (BTC) whales are still accumulating BTC, while the start of Ethereum ETF trading could increase demand for ETH. This presents an optimistic outlook for the long term into 2024, especially as approval of the ETF will likely spread positive sentiment across the broader market.
Furthermore, with increasing speculation about the direction of the market, the market may see an increase in on-chain derivatives trading volume over time.
Jag Kooner, head of derivatives at Bitfinex, also believes that the approval of Ethereum ETFs represents a significant milestone for crypto, capable of further integrating digital assets into mainstream finance. Furthermore, it increases investor confidence in the short term.
“The approval of the ETF is expected to increase investor confidence and could lead to an increase in ETH prices. Increased liquidity and stability of institutional investments could make ETH a more attractive asset for retail and institutional investors,” Kooner added.
Marko Jurina, CEO of Jumper.Exchange, highlighted that US tax payments have been completed and that China is injecting additional liquidity into the Yuan. Furthermore, there is an expectation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will reduce rates in June or July, in a context of persistent inflation in Europe. Notably, crude oil prices fell below $80 for the first time since February, which can be seen as a de facto stimulus for the consumer.
“These factors are converging to create a potentially volatile market environment, especially as we approach the US presidential election. Consequently, we foresee an increase in market interest and a likely positive trend throughout the summer”, assessed Jurina.
In addition to a heated June with speculation about the start date of Ethereum ETF trading in the US, James Davies, co-founder and CPO of Crypto Valley Exchange, expects a “summer of meme coins” soon. Memetics-based trading could spill over into traditional markets, with stocks like GameStop also receiving significant attention.
“We see a summer containing a meme coin bomb similar to the NFT summer of 2021. As a result, we will likely see some retail money temporarily withdrawn from other high-yield projects,” Davies explained. He added that another big event for crypto in June includes the continued arrival of more traditional market participants into the space.
Darren Franceschini, co-founder of Fideum, was quick to state that the market “could be gearing up for a bright June” as crypto market technical indicators point to a recovery.
“Innovation in the blockchain space continues to advance, and who knows, maybe June will see some exciting new developments. The overall economy is also looking good – the Fed is taking a measured approach with interest rates that could fuel steady growth. Experts are optimistic and June could just be the turning point for a fantastic summer for both crypto and global finance.”
Election year
Two important elections could impact the crypto market in 2024: the European Parliament elections and the US presidential elections. The elections for the European Parliament are close, scheduled to take place between June 6th and 9th. Jag Kooner of Bitfinex highlights that this election is important in shaping future legislation, including policy on cryptocurrencies.
“The elections could represent a major change in the political landscape, with right-wing and populist parties expected to gain substantial ground. This change could influence regulatory positions, potentially leading to tighter controls or, conversely, more favorable policies, depending on the composition of the new parliament,” Kooner added.
Namely, this has a direct impact on the implementation of the Markets in Cryptoassets (MiCA) regulation. MiCA aims to create a unified regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies across the European Union, providing legal clarity and potentially attracting more investment.
“The outcome of the elections will determine the pace and enthusiasm with which these regulations will be implemented. A more cryptocurrency-friendly parliament could accelerate the adoption of supportive regulations, increasing market confidence. On the other hand, a shift to more conservative policies could introduce new compliance challenges and uncertainties,” said the head of derivatives at Bitfinex.
Furthermore, although scheduled for November 5th this year, the US elections could start to impact the crypto regulatory landscape as early as June. Tristan Frizza, from Zeta Markets, highlighted that the market is already considering the effects of a potential Trump victory in the upcoming US elections, and this could lead to a more cryptocurrency-friendly administration.
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Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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