Markets
Gox announced the start of payments. What awaits the crypto market?
Exchange administrator Mt.Gox, which went bankrupt in 2014, announced plans to start paying compensation in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash and cash in early July.
The decision was made upon completion of the preparatory process, including providing technical support, complying with each country’s rules, and coordinating transfers with each cryptocurrency exchange.
Payments will start in order of arrival to the platforms that confirmed the required information.
“We take time to ensure safe and reliable repayment to lenders, including technical solutions for safe repayments, compliance with each country’s financial regulations, and discussing repayment agreements with cryptocurrency exchanges.”
Mt.Gox Debtors
The market reacted nervously to the publication of the news. Bitcoin (Bitcoin) fell below the $62,000 level. The drop in the value of BTC led to a drop in the quotes of other cryptocurrencies in the TOP 10 by market capitalization.
Mt.Gox bankruptcy
Gox was one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the world, operating from 2010 until it filed for bankruptcy in 2014 following hacker attacks. At its peak, Mt. Gox accounted for about 70% of the total Bitcoin volume of business. In a 2014 hack, 850,000 BTC were stolen. Its current value is more than US$57 billion.
The process of agreeing payments to the failed exchange Mt. Gox began in June 2018. In 2021, a court approved a compensation plan developed by the company’s administrator.
In December 2020, a plan was introduced to pay creditors in fiat currency, Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash (BCH). Details of the plan were made public in January 2021 and received court approval in February for a subsequent vote. The compensation plan was supported by around 83% of the exchange’s users.
The exchange’s bankruptcy led to a seven-and-a-half-year legal battle before a plan was implemented to refund affected users in 2021. As not all of the stolen coins were recovered, customers will only be compensated for a portion of the original amount. . value – 142,000 BTC, 143,000 BCH and 69 billion Japanese yen.
In December 2023, Mt. Gox customers reported return the money ten years after the collapse. Amid posts on social media by anonymous users about receiving funds, the Bitcoin rate fell by 4.5%.
At the end of May, the Bitcoin rate fell to US$67,500 amid news of the movement of Mt. Gox assets for around US$3 billion, intended to pay customers for the bankrupt exchange. Market participants fear that the exchange’s clients, having received billions of dollars in compensation, will begin selling them, impacting the market.
$9 billion Bitcoin payment
Bitcoin fell 3% after exchange manager Mt. Gox, which went bankrupt in 2014, announced plans to start paying compensation in early July. The price of the top cryptocurrency fell below $58,000, recovering above the $61,000 level at the time of writing.
Source: CoinMarketCap
Despite concerns about Mt. Gox Bitcoin, there may be broader reasons for the volatility in the crypto market. News of the distribution of bitcoins to creditors comes amid an investment outflow from bitcoin-traded funds. Capital losses from regulated crypto funds exceeded $500 million for a second week. This is the highest value in two weeks since the adoption of Bitcoin spot ETFs In the USA
What market participants are saying
According to CoinShares Chief analyst James Butterfill, the movement of funds of funds at this pace indicates the start of a real correction.
Caroline Mauron, co-founder of digital asset derivatives liquidity provider Orbit Markets, awake with his opinion. She believes that bearish sentiment is setting in and that the market is having difficulty digesting large sell orders.
Others see this market behavior as a short-term correction at the start of a bull market. Blockstream boss Adam Back I asked myself why creditors have already waited ten years for compensation.
“It would be a strange time to sell at the start of a bull market.”
Adam Back, CEO of Blockstream Corp.
In May, Galaxy Digital also estimated by 75% the share of coins returned by the platform administrator, whose owners preferred to receive an advance payment in kind at a discount.
While the market may believe that almost all of the 141,868 BTC will enter circulation this year, analysts believe that the amount will be significantly less. 64,697 BTC is expected to go to individual creditors and another 30,000 BTC to claim funds and participants in a separate bankruptcy.
Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn clarified that 20,000 lenders from a pool of nearly 65,000 BTC are early adopters of digital gold who have historically held it (11% of supply has not moved in over five years).
Around 25,000 BTC from Mt Gox were moved in the last hour, likely the start of distributions to creditors
I sent a note to GLXY clients and counterparties a few weeks ago with estimated payment amounts
Personally, I expect most of BTC to be controlled, but I can’t say the same for BCH pic.twitter.com/0f0LWOqGtc
– Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) May 28, 2024
The expert notes that the majority in this category purchased Bitcoin for $451 or less – they have remained holders despite several decade-long bear markets.
What will happen to Bitcoin in July?
According to Mark Cullen, Bitcoin will continue to decline in July. He believes that BTC’s positive momentum could be followed by a drop to new local lows. The analyst does not rule out a drop in Bitcoin to US$57,000 in early July. At the designated level, according to his observations, there is a liquidity pool that can act as a magnet for the crypto rate.
Trader Doctor Profit agreed with the prediction, implying a Bitcoin decline to $57,000. Unlike Mark Cullen, he is confident that BTC is already close to reaching a local minimum, which will be followed by an update to the absolute maximum.
The trader is sure that the current drawdown should be used to buy cheap bitcoins.
The bottom of the box is the $57,500 region
The closer we get to this, the harder I buy
Anything close to this is a gift, few understand pic.twitter.com/V8X3wNxxa9
– Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 (@DrProfitCrypto) June 24, 2024
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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