Markets
Is Trump Good for Bitcoin? Analysts Say So Despite Past ‘Coup’ Stance

Top line
The “Trump factor” is a positive catalyst for the world’s largest cryptocurrency, bitcoin, Bernstein analysts said in a note to clients on Tuesday, as Donald Trump’s selection of the crypto-friendly Ohio senator JD Vance while his running mate further fueled bitcoin investors’ optimism about the outlook for self-proclaimed “crypto president” Trump, despite Trump’s previous criticism of bitcoin.
Donald Trump, left, and JD Vance are presenting themselves as a pro-crypto ticket.
Los Angeles Times via Getty Images
Key facts
“The cryptocurrency market interprets a Trump victory scenario as more positive for cryptocurrencies” and the price of bitcoin is “positively correlated with the probability” of a Trump presidency, according to Bernstein analysts led by Gautam Chhugani.
Bitcoin has surged about 10% to nearly $65,000 since Saturday’s failed attempt on Trump’s life, which subsequently increased his likelihood of winning November’s presidential election. according to to betting markets, which are an imperfect real-time proxy for voter shifts, although majority Recent polls also suggest that Trump has a slight lead over Biden.
Bitcoin will remain “sensitive” to the election, predicted Chhugani, who has a highly optimistic price target of $200,000 for bitcoin by the end of 2025.
Chhugani, who noted that the Biden administration’s “strong regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrencies and Trump’s pro-Bitcoin statements” are fueling bitcoin optimism, is the latest analyst to view another Trump presidency as a tailwind for cryptocurrencies, joining Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick, who foreseen Bitcoin could surge to $150,000 in the event of a Trump victory, and Conotoxia analyst Grzegorz Dróżdż said he said this would have a “positive impact” on cryptocurrencies broadly.
Among the reasons Trump is seen as more pro-crypto is his support for home bitcoin mining, the energy-intensive process of extracting new bitcoins from the digital blockchain that Biden has proposed charging a significant tax on, and its opposition to digital currencies issued by central banks that could threaten the value of existing digital tokens such as bitcoin.
Monday’s nomination of longtime crypto ally Vance as Trump’s pick for vice president likely boosted Trump’s advance, as Vance owned at least $100,000 worth of bitcoin in his last financial disclosure and has repeatedly praised any less regulation of the sector.
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Main context
Prior to this election cycle, Trump has repeatedly attacked bitcoin and promoted more regulation. “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air,” and “Unregulated Crypto Assets can facilitate illegal behavior,” Trump he wrote on X in 2019. Other reviews included saying Bitcoin “looks like a scam” in 2021. Trump soon changed his mind about cryptocurrencies, selling millions of dollars worth of its own branded non-fungible tokens (NFTs) starting in 2022, and its campaign has begun accepting cryptocurrency donations, bringing $1.8 million in bitcoin contributions during Q2 2024, declaring he is “very positive and open-minded towards cryptocurrency companies and all things related to this new and growing industry” in May. Several notable figures in the cryptocurrency industry have supported Trump, including billionaire twins Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, who regretted that Biden “openly declared war on cryptocurrencies” in his June pledge to donate $1 million each in bitcoin to Trump’s election efforts.
Against
Despite the crypto market’s apparent support for a presidential regime change, there have been several big wins for bitcoin under Biden. Since Election Day 2020, bitcoin has surged nearly 400%, jumping from roughly under $14,000 to nearly $64,000. Most crucially, Biden-appointed financial regulators approved the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in January, sparking billions of dollars in institutional investment in bitcoin. Much of the crypto community’s criticism of the Biden administration has focused on Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler, who has often been critical of space. Part of Gensler’s regulatory crackdown includes unearthing bad actors like the failed cryptocurrency exchange FTX, whose founder Sam Bankman-Fried is in the middle a 25-year prison sentence and the Federal Bureau of Investigation found Americans lost an estimated $3.94 billion to cryptocurrency investment fraud schemes in 2023, a 53% increase from the previous year.
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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