Markets
The Nasdaq Just Hit Its Seventh Consecutive Record – Why Hasn’t Bitcoin Moved? –DL News
- The Nasdaq Composite is soaring.
- But Bitcoin is still around $60,000.
- Here are four factors holding back the crypto rally.
The Nasdaq Composite is on the rise, having just reached its seventh consecutive day of record highs.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 enjoyed similar highs, thanks to the chipmaker Nvidia and the investor frenzy around artificial intelligence.
Bitcoin, however, failed to keep up.
While market observers predict that cryptocurrency could rise as high as $200,000 over the next year, it held steady at about $65,000 last week.
Here are four factors holding back the top cryptocurrency.
Digesting half
Bitcoin is simply catching its breath after a formidable start to the year, said Adam Morgan McCarthy, an analyst at crypto data and analytics firm Kaiko Research. DL News.
The Nasdaq may be up 18% this year so far, but Bitcoin is up 53%, McCarthy noted. And it’s not just because Bitcoin tends to be more volatile – they are simply “moving on different factors”.
“Bitcoin has had a very strong start to the year thanks to regulatory developments specifically in the US,” Morgan said. “Bitcoin’s next drivers will be the long-term impact of the latest halving and ETF demand.”
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The fourth half, which occurred in mid-April, cut in half the amount of Bitcoin miners receive for maintaining the blockchain. As less Bitcoin is created, market participants expect the supply shock to push the price higher.
But the effects of halving “generally take a few months to become apparent,” McCarthy said — and are most visible when demand for Bitcoin increases.
“ETF demand in the U.S. could have a big impact here as more advisors and firms take on new investors in the coming months,” McCarthy said.
It’s normal for the quadrennial event to be followed by months of subdued trading, agreed Jacob Joseph, research analyst at CCData. Especially since the markets overheated in the months leading up to the halving.
Centralized exchanges recorded historic new volumes in March, and this speculation, as indicated by open interest, “was at unprecedented levels,” Joseph said. DL News.
Open interest is a metric that reflects the total number of futures contracts in circulation. The high amount of open interest tends to be due to speculative frenzy.
“In this sense, the market needs the current period of price cooling or consolidation before we see the typical rapid price expansion of Bitcoin and other digital assets,” said Joseph.
ETF exits
Last week was the worst period for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund outflows since March, amounting to US$620 million.
“Short-term outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs have also contributed to negative sentiment in the market, negatively affecting the asset’s price action,” said Joseph.
“However, the upcoming launch of Ethereum ETFs, coupled with recent positive macroeconomic data, suggests that Bitcoin and major crypto assets are likely to soon reverse their trend and aim for new cycle highs.”
Mount Gox
Once the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Mt. Gox has loomed large over the industry since it collapsed in 2014 after being hacked.
The reason? Approximately $9.2 billion worth of Bitcoin was held up in bankruptcy, waiting to be paid to creditors.
Now it appears that these 142,000 Bitcoins could flood the market at any time before the October 31st Mt. deadline. Gox for refunds.
The market could simply be waiting for these redemptions to occur.
“A mass Bitcoin redemption event is unlikely,” David Duong, head of research at crypto exchange Coinbase, said recently. DL News. “But concerns around these refunds could still constrain liquidity, as market players may avoid mobilizing new capital amid the uncertainty.”
Miners selling stakes
Bitcoin miners are also putting pressure on the price of the leading cryptocurrency.
Although the halving has restricted the amount of new Bitcoin that mining companies can create and sell, most of these operations still maintain formidable reserves of Bitcoin.
The sector dumped about $300 million of its Bitcoin reserves since the start of the year, according to analytics firm CryptoQuant.
And Marathon Digital, the largest publicly traded mining company in the US, offloaded more than $92 million in June alone – about 8% of its billion-dollar stockpile.
Eric Johannsson and Tom Carreras write about markets for DL News. Have a tip about Bitcoin? Contact eric@dlnews.com or tcarreras@dlnews.com
Markets
Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows
This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.
Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.
Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.
Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.
Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.
Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.
U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.
Markets
Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days
Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.
Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis
O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.
The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.
Arweave (AR) Price Analysis
Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.
AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.
Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)
Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.
INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.
Markets
Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High
Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.
ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.
ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.
According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.
On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.
The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.
Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.
One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.
Markets
Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt
Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?
Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.
Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.
They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?
They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).
Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?
Program Highlights:
- Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
- How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
- Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
- How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
- What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
- Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
- What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
- Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
- What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week
Hosts:
Guest:
- Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures
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