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Why Bitcoin Remains Below $70K Despite Large ETF Inflows

FinCrypt Staff

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Why Bitcoin Remains Below $70K Despite Large ETF Inflows

Key Takeaways

  • The second-largest daily inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs failed to sustain bitcoin prices above $70,000. Analysts say hedge funds and commodity traders are involved in price arbitrage, buying ETFs and selling CME bitcoin futures.
  • Robinhood announced a deal to buy cryptocurrency exchange Bitstamp.
  • Semler Scientific is taking a page out of Microstrategy’s playbook and acquiring bitcoin.
  • Market watchers will be watching CPI data and comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell for clues about when the central bank might cut rates.

Bitcoin prices have remained quite fluctuating over the past week, although they fell sharply below the $70,00 mark on Friday after rising to over $71,000 earlier in the week.

The second-largest daily inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds failed to maintain bitcoin price momentum as traders engaged in arbitrage to make money on the difference between spot and futures prices. Robinhood (HOOD) made headlines with its acquisition of Bitstamp in a bid to expand its business abroad. Additionally, another publicly traded company decided to leverage bitcoin as a treasury asset.

Bitcoin ETFs have the second strongest daily flow

Last Tuesday, US spot bitcoin ETFs had the second-largest daily net inflows, reaching $886.6 million, according to data from Farside Investors. Leading the entries was Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), contributing $378.7 million, followed by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (I BITE) with US$274.4 million.

This inflow marked sixteen consecutive days of net inflows for these ETFs, which have since been extended to nineteen days. It was a strong week overall for bitcoin ETF inflows, as nearly $1.6 billion in flows entered the market from Tuesday through Thursday alone.

Cumulative net inflows into US Bitcoin ETFs have now reached $15.6 billion, with IBIT surpassing the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) as the biggest player on the market. Despite strong flows, the price of bitcoin has only flirted with a new all-time high and has yet to reach the $73,000 mark seen in March.

Traders were bullish on spot bitcoin ETFs when they began trading in January, with inflows driving a rally in bitcoin prices. However, that trend may be changing as traders are now betting on arbitrage.

Hedge funds and commodity traders are buying spot bitcoin ETFs while selling CME futures, or basic tradingwith the aim of profiting from the futures market premium over spot prices, according to BitMEX Research.

What Bitstamp Buying Means for Robinhood

Robinhood US$200 million acquisition Crypto exchange Bitstamp accelerates its foray into digital assets, especially outside the US. This expansion comes about six months after Robinhood began offering crypto trading to customers in the European Union.

Bitstamp has 50 active licenses and registrations worldwide, positioning Robinhood to compete directly with industry leaders like Binance It is Coin base (COIN). Bitstamp’s extensive spot exchange, widely used in Europe and Asia, offers more than 85 tradable assets, including staking and lending services, and aims to fuel the growth of Robinhood Crypto as its first institutional business.

“The acquisition of Bitstamp is an important step in growing our crypto business,” said Johann Kerbrat, general manager at Robinhood Crypto. “Bitstamp’s long-standing, highly reliable global exchange has shown resilience through market cycles.”

Although this deal is expected to close in the first half of next year, Robinhood’s crypto business is thriving – generating about a fifth of the company’s net revenue in the first quarter – despite regulatory challenges in the US

Semler Scientific follows Microstrategy’s Bitcoin playbook

Scientific Semler (SMLR) announced last Thursday that it will bolster its existing bitcoin holdings with a recent $17 million purchase, while also planning to raise $150 million. In May, the healthcare company announced a $40 million bitcoin acquisition, which subsequently increased its shares by about 25%. The company now owns 828 bitcoins in total.

Semler Scientific has strategically diversified by incorporating bitcoin into its corporate strategy. CEO Doug Murphy-Chutorian stated: “Semler remains focused on our dual strategies of expanding our healthcare business and acquiring and holding bitcoin.”

Semler’s recent announcement aligns with the broader trend of publicly traded companies holding significant amounts of bitcoin, collectively totaling 308,688 BTC worth about $21.4 billion, according to Bitcoin Treasuries. Microstrategy (MSTR) is the most notable example here, holding nearly $15 billion worth of bitcoins, but others include Tesla (TSLA) and Block (SQUARE).

Semler shares jumped shortly after the announcement and are trading about 27% higher compared to last Thursday’s close. Microstrategy shares have more than doubled since the start of the year as its bitcoin portfolio has benefited from rising bitcoin prices.

What to expect from the markets this week

Market watchers in both traditional financial and cryptocurrency markets will be keeping an eye on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday for clues about when the central bank might move towards reducing interest rates.

Higher than expected inflation data in the past has led to a decline in bitcoin prices as it creates uncertainty about when the Fed will cut rates and by how much.

The Fed’s anti-inflation campaign of raising interest rates has driven up bond yields, making them more attractive to investors – not just because of the returns, but also because bonds tend to carry less risk.

Outside of bitcoin, meme-based tokens on Solana, especially those backed by various celebrities, continue to attract attention from investors who prefer to bet on small-cap crypto assets. In particular, MOTHER, which is backed by Australian artist Iggy Azalea, has risen from less than $0.01 to over $0.20 in recent weeks, meaning its market capitalization is almost $200 million. .

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypt, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypt, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Markets

Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

FinCrypt Staff

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Crypto Markets Rebound Ahead of Early Ethereum ETF Approval

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.

Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.

Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.

Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.

Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.

Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.

U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

FinCrypt Staff

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.

Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis

O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.

The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.

Arweave (AR) Price Analysis

Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.

AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.

Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)

Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.

INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

FinCrypt Staff

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.

ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.

ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment

Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.

According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.

On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.

The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.

Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.

One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.

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Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

FinCrypt Staff

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Bits + Bips: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Crypto After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?

Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.

Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.

In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.

They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?

They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).

Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?

Program Highlights:

  • Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
  • How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
  • Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
  • How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
  • What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
  • Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
  • What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
  • Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
  • What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week

Hosts:

Guest:

  • Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures

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