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Why the Fall Season Will Be a Great Indicator of Correction

Published

10 months ago

5 July, 2024

Why the Fall Season Will Be a Great Indicator of Correction

Bitcoin (BTC-USD exchange rate) prices dropped sharply in Friday’s trading session, triggered by Mt. Gox Starts Refunding Customers, which has sparked fears of a potential sell-off in cryptocurrency markets. Token Bay Capital Founder and Managing Partner Lucy Gazmararian offers her insights into the cryptocurrency outlook.

Gazmararian notes that the Mt. Gox redemption event was “pretty closely tracked in Bitcoin circles” and was widely “anticipated.” He suggests that “any sale [in bitcoin] It’s likely to happen in stages” rather than all at once. He also questions whether significant sell-offs will materialize, saying that “people are likely to hold bitcoin for the long term.”

Going into the summer season, Gazmararian predicts a “quieter” trading period, especially for bitcoin. However, he stresses that the real test is yet to come: “The big question is what bitcoin will do when everyone goes back to work in the fall and the markets start to recover. That’s when we can really tell whether bitcoin will have a deeper correction than what’s actually typical for most of the cycle.”

For more in-depth insights and the latest market action, click Here to watch the full episode of the Morning Brief.

This post was written by Angel Smith

Video Transcription

Bitcoin’s value plummets after Mount Gox begins refunding users, fueling fears that customers may quickly sell the coin to argue about what investors should do.

Now we have Lucy Gas Marian, founder and managing partner of Token Bay Capital.

Lucia.

It’s nice to have you here.

Thank you for discussing this topic with us.

I mean, what should we expect some of the holders or holders to do now as a result of Mt. Gox?

So, Mount Gox has obviously been monitored, um, pretty thoroughly in Bitcoin circles, so it’s an expected event.

And then there was also a lot of negotiation of claims before, you know, all of this was resolved on behalf of the creditors.

So, it is really a matter of debate whether 9 billion will flow into the markets at once, but in reality it is highly unlikely.

So any sales are likely to be staggered over time.

And indeed, one has to wonder whether there will be any sellers because, as I said, it is likely that a lot of the demand has already changed hands and people are already willing to hold Bitcoin long-term or sell it, but it is unlikely that this will happen all at once.

So it should be available and the market should be able to absorb any supply that comes in.

Lucia.

The story continues

There’s a lot, I see a lot of chatter on various forums, on various forums dedicated to cryptocurrencies.

Very focused on what’s going to happen with this presidential election.

Let’s make a comparison: Suppose President Biden decides to retire and someone else steps up and takes his place.

Who is the best person for the cryptocurrency market?

The interesting thing is that there are a lot more pro-crypto voices in Congress in US politics and, you know, we’re getting a lot more supporters and that’s largely due to this stance on the cryptocurrency movement and the funding that they’re actually getting from a concerted effort by all the big players in the cryptocurrency space to really change the perception around cryptocurrency, really get people on board with the new technology and, you know, the infrastructure for a new generation of financial markets and, you know, for politicians to see it as such and actually see it as an enabler and a way for the US economy to move forward and grow.

And so I think they’re having incredible success in that sense this year.

There’s a lot of funding coming in and a lot more voices, and it’s not just funding, it’s education, with all these crypto groups going to Washington and explaining and sitting down with legislators to determine what this technology can really offer the American people.

Even in the first half of this year, the cryptocurrency strategy was pretty simple.

It was about approvals and having, what does the second half strategy look like for cryptocurrencies?

So I think, okay, we’ve seen a bit of a sell-off lately.

I think with each wave we get new buyers who are not used to this volatility.

So it’s not a particularly pleasant experience to invest in an ETF in January, be excited about 30% or 50% gains and then find yourself down 30%, it takes a little getting used to.

So we have new buyers entering this market.

And then, generally, during the summer the trading is calmer, right?

Summer is a quieter time for trading, and Bitcoin is no exception, especially now that it is listed on a national stock exchange.

So there will be some degree of correlation.

The big question is what will happen to Bitcoin when everyone goes back to work in the fall and the markets start to recover.

This is when we can really tell whether Bitcoin will undergo a deeper correction than is typical for most of the cycle.

And up to this point, we are still seeing very typical movements in the price of Bitcoin.

If someone wanted to use this pullback, Lucy, as a buying opportunity, what should be their first stop?

Um, so, it changes every time they go down.

So there were 56.

Now people say 48.

Listen, I think a great piece of investing advice, although I can’t give it, is to look at the dollar cost.

To average out your entry into this asset class, you need to have a long-term view on Bitcoin.

We need to look at the fundamentals.

If you invest for six months or a year, this will be a rather complicated trading strategy because the market goes through cycles of expansion and contraction.

So the best thing to do with Bitcoin is to invest in dollars and hold it for the long term, because we are likely to see another cycle towards the end of 2025 and into 2026, when we will have another cycle where these cycles will really emerge from this Bitcoin mining and the Bitcoin halving, which happens every four years.

So I think as investors you should really take a close look at Bitcoin.

Do you think it will become a fundamental trading tool?

Do you think it will be the equivalent of the US dollar in a global digital economy?

Do you think more emerging markets and governments will start accumulating Bitcoin as a reserve asset?

You know, consider what you think the utility of Bitcoin really is because there are a lot of different stories associated with Bitcoin and, you know, you just buy it because you think it’s going to go up.

I would suggest having a long-term investment horizon.

Lucy Gas Marian, founder and managing partner of Token Bay Capital.

A thousand thanks.

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Related Topics:bitcoin Lucy Gazmarayan Mount Gox

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypt, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypt, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Block Investors Need More to Assess Crypto Unit’s Earnings Potential, Analysts Say — TradingView News

Published

9 months ago

11 July, 2024

FinCrypt Staff

DeFi Lending Protocol Nexo Allocates $12 Million for Ecosystem Incentives — TradingView News

Block, a payments technology company led by Jack Dorsey square could become a formidable player in the cryptocurrency mining industry, but Wall Street will need details on profit margins to gauge the positive impact of the business on earnings, analysts said.

Block signed its first large-scale cryptocurrency mining hardware pact on Wednesday, agreeing to supply its chips to bitcoin miner Core Scientific CORZbut no financial details were disclosed.

JP Morgan estimates the deal could net Block between $225 million and $300 million, but said more information will be needed to assess the hardware business’s long-term earnings potential.

“We still have a lot to learn in terms of the margins of this business, so we are hesitant to underwrite this transaction until we know more about the cadence and economics,” J.P. Morgan said.

The deal marks a major step for the payments company, which started out as “Square” in 2009 before rebranding in 2021 in a nod to its focus on crypto and blockchain technologies.

Dorsey, who co-founded and ran Twitter (now known as “X”), has long been bullish on Bitcoin. Block began investing 10% of its monthly gross profit from Bitcoin products into Bitcoin in April.

In the first quarter, nearly 9% of the company’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities consisted of bitcoin.

“This development (the deal with Core Scientific) is further evidence of Block’s role as an emerging leader in the crypto hardware ecosystem,” Macquarie analysts Paul Golding and Emma Liang wrote in a note.

Analysts say similar deals to follow could further validate Block’s reputation in the industry.

But J.P. Morgan said the stock’s performance will be determined by Block’s other segments, such as Square and Cash App.

Block shares have lost nearly 17% this year.

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News

This Thursday’s US Consumer Price Index could be a game-changer for cryptocurrencies!

Published

9 months ago

11 July, 2024

FinCrypt Staff

This Thursday's US Consumer Price Index could be a game-changer for cryptocurrencies!

3:30 PM ▪ 4 minute read ▪ by Luc Jose A.

This Thursday, attention will be focused on the United States with the anticipated release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This economic indicator could trigger significant movements in the markets, especially for the U.S. dollar and cryptocurrencies. While investors remain vigilant, speculation is rife about the potential impact of these key figures.

The Consumer Price Index: The Cornerstone of the American Economy

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key measure of inflation which reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by American households. This index is calculated monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and serves as a barometer for the cost of living. The consumer price index covers a wide range of products, including food, clothing, housing, health care, and entertainment. Economists and policy makers closely monitor this data to anticipate economic trends and adjust monetary policies accordingly.

The June CPI data is due to be released this Thursday at 2:30 p.m., and is highly anticipated by investors. The current consensus is for headline annual inflation to decline to 3.1%, from 3.3% the previous month, while core inflation is expected to remain stable at 3.4%.

THE BIGGEST EVENT THIS WEEK 🚨

The U.S. Consumer Price Index is expected to
PUBLICATION TODAY AT 8:30 AM ET.

EXPECTATIONS ARE 3.1% WHILE
LAST MONTH THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) WAS 3.3%

HERE ARE SOME SCENARIOS 👇

1) CPI above 3.1%

THIS WILL BE A DAMAGE TO THE MARKET
GIVEN THAT THE LAST TIME THE CPI DATA… photo.twitter.com/yudjPLPl8g

— Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) July 11, 2024

Consumer Price Index Release: What Does It Mean for the Dollar and Bitcoin?

Inflation as measured by the consumer price index is a key determinant of the value of the US dollar. If the consumer price index declines more than expected, it could reinforce expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, thus weakening the dollar. A weaker dollar could benefit GBP/USD, which recently broke a major resistance level, and Bitcoin, which could see its price rise due to increased demand from institutional investors.

Current forecasts suggest that headline inflation will decline to 3.1%, with core inflation holding steady at 3.4%. However, a surprise increase in the consumer price index could upset these expectations. Fed Governor Lisa Cook has mentioned the possibility of a soft landing for the economy, with inflation falling without a significant increase in unemployment, which could lead the Fed to consider rate cuts. This outlook is particularly favorable for stock markets and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, which could benefit from a more accommodative monetary policy.

According to experts at 10x Research, especially their CEO Markus Thielen, Bitcoin could see a significant increase if the CPI data confirms a decline in inflation. Thielen indicated that Bitcoin could reach almost $60,000, a prediction that has already been reflected with a rise to $59,350 before the data was released.

Therefore, Thursday’s CPI data could determine the future direction of financial and cryptocurrency markets. High inflation could strengthen the US Dollarwhile a drop in inflation could pave the way for rate cuts by the Fed, thus giving a boost to Bitcoin and other digital assets.

Enhance your Cointribune experience with our Read to Earn program! Earn points for every article you read and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning rewards.

Click here to join “Read to Earn” and turn your passion for cryptocurrencies into rewards!

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Luke Jose A.

A graduate of Sciences Po Toulouse and holder of a blockchain consultant certification issued by Alyra, I joined the Cointribune adventure in 2019. Convinced of the potential of blockchain to transform many sectors of the economy, I am committed to raising awareness and informing the general public about this ever-evolving ecosystem. My goal is to enable everyone to better understand blockchain and seize the opportunities it offers. Every day, I strive to provide an objective analysis of the news, decipher market trends, convey the latest technological innovations and put into perspective the economic and social issues of this ongoing revolution.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and should not be construed as investment advice. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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News

Crowd Expects Bitcoin Bounce Suggests Further Losses, As RCO Finance Resists Crash

Published

9 months ago

11 July, 2024

FinCrypt Staff

Crowd Expects Bitcoin Bounce Suggests Further Losses, As RCO Finance Resists Crash

Bitcoin is seeing a rebound after its recent price crash to $53,000. Other altcoins are subsequently recovering, with many cryptocurrency investors increasingly making new entries. However, Santiment warned against this hopium, suggesting that Bitcoin could extend its price losses.

As the broader market anticipates Bitcoin’s next price action, RCO Finance (RCOF) demonstrates resilience, attracting thousands of people in influxes. Read on for more details!

RCO Finance challenges the market crisis

RCO Finance (RCOF) is approaching $1 million in funding raised, amid growing interest from institutional traders seeking stability from Bitcoin’s wild price swings. While much of the broader market has seen significant price losses, RCO Finance has remained resilient, experiencing a surge in its pre-sale orders.

As a result, the project seems oblivious to the current market conditions, leading top market experts to take a deep dive into its ecosystem. They identified why RCO Finance was able to withstand the bearish pressure and its potential to hold up even stronger during the impending broader market crash.

The main reason was related to the innovative use of RCO Finance AI Trading Tools as a Robo Advisor. This tool has been integrated into RCO Finance’s cryptocurrency trading platform, offering full automation and highly accurate market forecasts to help investors make informed decisions.

Read on to learn more about this tool and other exciting features of RCO Finance!

Bitcoin Bounces Amid Impending Crash

Bitcoin is bouncing back, rallying 8% after plunging to its lowest point since February on July 5. While this rebound has triggered a bullish wave in the broader market, many cryptocurrency analysts predict it could be short-lived as Bitcoin is poised for an imminent crash toward the $50,000 zone.

On a Post X (formerly Twitter)Santiment revealed that while the crowd is anticipating a Bitcoin rally, this potential crash could trigger FUD and panic, causing average traders to wither and give up on Bitcoin. The platform noted that Bitcoin rally has historically occurred after these weak hands sold their holdings.

In particular, these cryptocurrency analysts speculate that the previous and upcoming Bitcoin crash is largely the result of bearish market psychology, as opposed to large BTC sell-offs by the German government and Mt. Gox. In particular, Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, noticed that “the sales were rather negligible, given the overall liquidity of Bitcoin.”

Enjoy seamless investing on RCO Finance

RCO Finance is making investing easier and easier, democratizing access to high-level tools and cryptocurrency earnings that were once reserved for professional and institutional investors. It has also prioritized accessibility, allowing investors of all levels to easily navigate its features through its intuitive interface.

Additionally, they can also maintain anonymity and privacy as the platform has no KYC requirements. To build trust, the platform has instead emphasized regular smart contract audits by respected security firm SolidProof.

Performance data shows massive adoption, indicating that it is doing its job effectively. Investors can also capitalize on RCO Finance’s fast transaction speeds and incredibly low transaction fees, with leverage options up to 1000x to further optimize their portfolios and maximize returns.

Leverage RCO Finance’s pre-sale earnings

An in-depth analysis of the RCO Finance ecosystem revealed that it has strong potential to rival and surpass major cryptocurrencies in the cryptocurrency industry. With a very limited total token supply and excellent tokenomics, RCO Finance is poised to reach its target of $1 billion in market cap upon its official launch.

RCO Finance has adopted a deflationary model, strategic burn mechanisms, and a vesting schedule. However, the project encourages long-term holding by focusing on sustained growth through incredibly high staking rewards.

RCOF tokens are currently available at an altcoin price of $0.01275 in progress Pre-sale Phase 1. This is likely the lowest price these coins will ever trade at, as they are expected to increase exponentially with each new presale phase.

With RCOF expected to be $0.4 at launch, investors jumping in now can expect a Return 30x on their investment!

For more information on RCO Finance (RCOF) presale:

Visit RCO Finance Pre-sale

Join the RCO Financial Community

Disclaimer: The statements, views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the content provider and do not necessarily represent those of Crypto Reporter. Crypto Reporter is not responsible for the reliability, quality and accuracy of any material in this article. This article is provided for educational purposes only. Crypto Reporter is not responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article. Do your own research and invest at your own risk.

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News

Bitget Ranks Third Among Cryptocurrency Exchanges by Capital Inflows in Q2

Published

9 months ago

11 July, 2024

FinCrypt Staff

Although Bitget is not the largest cryptocurrency exchange in terms of total volumes, it closed a favorable quarter. From April to June, the platform ranked third in net capital inflows and showed the strongest growth in market share compared to its competitors.

In the second quarter, investors moved $700 million into Bitget, and activity on the platform increased by nearly 50%.

The exchange has seen a surge in user funds, with Bitcoin (BTC), Tether (USDT), and Ethereum (ETH) rising 73%, 80%, and 153%, respectively, in the first six months of the year. This growth coincided with adding 2.9 million new users to the platform.

This has positioned Bitget among the top exchanges with the highest positive net inflows in the last quarter. Only Binance, which remains the market leader, and Bitfinex have performed better in this category.

According to CCData’s latest H2 Outlook Report, the exchange also recorded the highest market share growth among centralized exchanges, increasing 38.4% from H2 2023 to H1 2024.

Bitget’s spot trading volume has also seen a visible increase, going from $28 billion in Q1 to $32 billion in Q2, marking an increase of over 10%. The platform’s monthly visitors have reached 10 million. Although its volumes are increasing, Bitget still does not rank among the top 10 cryptocurrency exchanges in terms of spot trading.

The changes taking place in the centralized cryptocurrency exchange market show that competition is becoming more and more intenseAn example of this is the recent surge in popularity of Bybit, which has become the second largest exchange in terms of spot trading volumes.

Sports Sponsorships and New Products

Gracy Chen, Source: LinkedIn

Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget, commented on the quarterly performance, saying, “Q2 2024 was a pivotal period for Bitget. Our collaboration with Turkish athletes, along with significant growth in users and website traffic, is part of our global expansion.”

In an effort to expand its global presence, Bitget has partnered with three Turkish national athletes as part of its #MakeItCount campaign, starring Lionel Messi. The deal with the famous footballer It was signed in Februaryto build brand presence in Latin America.

The exchange also launched a $20 million TON Ecosystem Fund in partnership with Foresight Ventures to support early-stage projects on The Open Network.

The exchange introduced two new initial token listing products, PoolX and Pre-market, which collectively launched over 100 projects. Additionally, Bitget’s native token, BGB, was recognized as the best-performing centralized exchange token in June and was ranked among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by Forbes.

In its latest move, the cryptocurrency exchange aimed to become a regulated player in IndiaThe announcement comes as the world’s most populous democracy grapples with the complexities of integrating cryptocurrencies into its financial ecosystem.

Even recently,
Bitget Wallet Announced a joint investment with cryptocurrency investment firm Foresight X in Tomarket, a decentralized trading platform. This initiative targets emerging asset classes and aims to expand the portfolio’s services beyond traditional decentralized exchanges (DEXs).

In the second quarter, investors moved $700 million into Bitget, and activity on the platform increased by nearly 50%.

According to CCData’s latest H2 Outlook Report, the exchange also recorded the highest market share growth among centralized exchanges, increasing 38.4% from H2 2023 to H1 2024.

The changes taking place in the centralized cryptocurrency exchange market show that competition is becoming increasingly intenseAn example of this is the recent surge in popularity of Bybit, which has become the second largest exchange in terms of spot trading volumes.

Sports Sponsorships and New Products

Gracy Chen, Source: LinkedIn

The exchange also launched a $20 million TON Ecosystem Fund in partnership with Foresight Ventures to support early-stage projects on The Open Network.

Source