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Cryptocurrency market insights and trends

FinCrypt Staff

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The “Digital Assets: Market Insights and Trends” report for the first half of 2024, produced jointly by CME Group and Glassnode, offers a comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market.

This article delves into the key findings and trends highlighted in the reportproviding essential insights for institutional investors looking to navigate the complexities of this burgeoning asset class.

Cryptocurrency Market Landscape Overview According to Glassnode: Bitcoin

The digital asset market has seen significant growth and growing institutional interest in recent years. In the first half of 2024, the market capitalization of digital assets is approximately $2.56 trillion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the attack.

The market capitalization of Bitcoin has increased by over $1.13 trillion (+370%) since its cyclical low in November 2022, while Ethereum’s valuation has increased by $354 billion (+267%).

Stablecoins have emerged as a critical component of the digital asset ecosystem, with a total supply of $145 billion. Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) dominate the stablecoin market, accounting for 74% and 22% of the supply, respectively.

Bitcoin operates on a fixed supply schedule, with the issuance rate being halved every four years. The current circulating supply is 19.696 million BTC, with a recent halving that reduced the issuance rate to 3.125 BTC per block.

This halving mechanism plays a crucial role in Bitcoin’s value proposition, contributing to its scarcity.

The Bitcoin network processes approximately $46.4 billion in daily on-chain volume, comparable to major payment processors like Visa and Mastercard. After applying advanced filtering heuristics to exclude internal transactions, economic transfer volumes are closer to $6.5 billion per day.

The Bitcoin mining ecosystem continues to thrive, with the network’s hash rate reaching a new all-time high of over 617 exahash per second. Despite high aggregate miner revenues, the competitive mining environment has driven the hash rate to a new low of 48K per exahash per day following the fourth halving.

Ethereum and the Bullish and Bearish Derivatives Markets

Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset, has a circulating supply of 119.76 million ETH. The network transitioned from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism in September 2022, significantly reducing the issuance rate from around 14.3k ETH/day to 2.6k ETH/day.

Ethereum’s PoS system currently boasts over one million active validators, with 32.2 million ETH locked as staked collateral. This staked supply represents over 27% of the circulating ETH, reflecting the network’s increasing security and decentralization.

Derivatives markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum showed substantial growth, with futures markets dominating trading volume. Open interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum futures surpassed previous highs, reaching $29.0 billion and $14.7 billion, respectively.

Demand for calendar-expiration futures has increased, driven by institutional interest, especially in Bitcoin, where CME Group instruments play a significant role.

Futures markets remain the primary venue for digital asset trading, with daily contract volumes for Bitcoin and Ethereum reaching $34.4 billion and $26.7 billion, respectively. These volumes are comparable to previous market cycles, although they remain below the all-time highs seen in early 2021.

Synchronicity of Different Cryptocurrency Markets: Glassnode’s Research

On-chain metrics provide valuable insights into market behavior and investor sentiment. For Bitcoin, the Realized Cap, which measures the aggregate value of all coins at the time of the last on-chain transaction, currently stands at $591 billion.

The MVRV ratio, a derived metric, helps assess the overall profitability of Bitcoin investors by comparing Market Cap to Realized Cap. Values ​​above 1.0 indicate large unrealized profits, while values ​​below 1.0 suggest unrealized losses.

Ethereum’s on-chain metrics reveal similar trends. Ethereum’s Realized Cap is $240 billion, often intersected by Market Cap during advanced bear markets. This indicates that the average ETH unit is held in unrealized loss during such periods.

The approval and launch of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in the United States in January 2024 was a significant milestone for the digital asset market. These ETFs opened up access to a wider group of investors, providing regulatory clarity and solidifying Bitcoin’s status as an institutional asset. The trading volume of these ETFs reached approximately $2.5 billion per day, comparable to the spot trading volume in cryptovalue exchanges.

The “Digital Assets: Insights and Market Trends” report for the first half of 2024 highlights the continued growth and institutionalization of the digital asset market. With Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the way, the market has seen significant capital inflows and growing interest from institutional investors.

The evolution of derivatives markets, coupled with on-chain metrics, provides a comprehensive view of market dynamics and investor behavior.

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We are the editorial team of FinCrypt, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on FinCrypt, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Markets

Crypto Markets Rebound as Spot Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows

FinCrypt Staff

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Crypto Markets Rebound Ahead of Early Ethereum ETF Approval

This week saw $722 million worth of Bitcoin spot ETF inflows, including the largest daily inflow in a month.

Cryptocurrency markets rallied on Wednesday, driven by inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is up 3% over the past 24 hours to last change hands at $65,200, according to CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) is up 2% and is trading at $3,471. Solana (SUN) and Polkadot (POINT) increased by 4%.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $422 million in daily inflows on Tuesday, the highest in the past 30 days, according to Far side data, . The all-time record for a single day was $1.05 billion on March 12.

Among Tuesday’s top contributors, BlackRock’s IBIT led with $260 million in inflows, followed by Fidelity’s FBTC with $61 million. This week has already seen more than $722 million in inflows.

Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Worldcoin (WLD) led with a 28% increase, followed by Helium (HNT) with 20% and Lido DAO (LDO) with 15%.

Worldcoin, a decentralized identity project led by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, announced is extending the lockups for early investors and team members. This means that tokens will be gradually released through 2029, instead of the original 2027 plan. Token unlocks are generally seen as a negative because they increase supply and early investors can sell their tokens for profit.

Meanwhile, XRP, the token of the XRP Ledger network, jumped 8% after the CME and CF benchmarks introduced new indices and reference rates for XRP.

U.S. stocks faced a downturn on Wednesday. The S&P 500 fell 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average both fell 2%.

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

FinCrypt Staff

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Altcoins on the cusp of a major breakout – WLD, AR, and INJ prices could surge by 20% in the coming days

Crypto markets appear to have been taken over by the bulls as major tokens have surged above their crucial resistance zone. Bitcoin surged above $65,000 while Ethereum was above $3,500, and XRP, which had remained passive for quite some time, surged over 40% in the past few days to hit $0.6. The uptrend has been captured in most altcoins, with Worldcoin (WLD), Arweave (AR), and Injective (INJ) leading the rally. Here’s what to expect for these tokens in the coming days.

Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis

O Worldcoin Price has been trading inside a descending wedge since it marked a new ATH near $12 in the final days of Q1 2024. The recent price action helped the price break out of the upper resistance of the wedge, breaking above the crucial resistance zone between $2.21 and $2.39. Market sentiments have changed, but technicals suggest that the bulls may remain passive for a while, which could offer some room for a bearish pullback.

The price broke out of the wedge with a significant increase in volume, but the current volume suggests that the bulls have taken a step back. Meanwhile, the RSI is about to reach the upper boundary, which could attract bearish forces. Additionally, the DMI has undergone a bullish crossover, but the decline in the ADX suggests that the rally may remain consolidated above the gains. Therefore, the WLD price is expected to maintain a horizontal consolidation between $3 and $3.3 and trigger a fresh rally to $4.4 during the next bullish rally.

Arweave (AR) Price Analysis

Arweave formed a strong base around $25, which helped the rally trigger a recovery during the bearish attack. Mt. Gox and German terror forced the price to fall below $20. However, the recent price action has brought the altcoin within the bullish range and raised expectations of maintaining a decent uptrend for a few more days.

AR price has hit one of the major resistances around $30 to $31.5, which could act as a strong base once overcome. The buying volume is slowly increasing, which could keep the bullish hopes for the rally high. Moreover, the supertrend has just flashed a buy signal, indicating a clean reversal of the trend. Therefore, AR price seems primed to maintain a healthy uptrend and rally above $40. However, if the bulls maintain a similar trend, making new highs above $50 may not be a tedious task for the bulls.

Price Analysis of Injective (INJ)

Injective price has been showing sharp strength since the beginning of the year and hence, the recent turnaround is expected to revive a good uptrend going forward. The bears engulfed the rally to a large extent, but the recent price action suggests that the bulls have regained their dominance. Therefore, INJ price is expected to maintain a strong uptrend with a bearish interference on the way down.

INJ price has surged above the lower support zone and has registered consecutive bullish candles. Although the volume is below the required levels, the OBV is maintaining a sharp uptrend. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud lead span B is heading towards the lead span A and a healthy crossover indicates the start of a new uptrend. However, INJ price may be out of the bears’ reach once it secures the resistance zone between $30.77 and $32.12, which seems to be on the horizon.

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

FinCrypt Staff

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Ethereum at $3.5K, Exchange Supply Hits 34-Month High

Ethereum (ETH) supply on exchanges has hit a 34-month high as the asset’s price surpassed the $3,500 mark.

ETH has risen 2.3% over the past 24 hours and is trading at $3,490 at the time of writing. The second-largest cryptocurrency — with a market cap of $419 billion — briefly touched an intraday high of $3,517 earlier today.

ETH Price, Whale Activity, RSI, and Exchange Supply – July 17 | Source: Santiment

Ethereum’s daily trading volume also increased by 7.6% to reach $19.8 billion.

According to data provided by Santiment, the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has reached $19.52 million ETH. This level was last seen in September 2021, when the asset was trading around the same price.

On the other hand, data from the market intelligence platform shows that the number of whale transactions has fallen by 12% in the last day — falling from 8,730 to 7,629 unique transactions per day.

The move shows that the supply of Ethereum on exchanges has been increasing with small deposits rather than large transactions from whales.

Additionally, the ETH Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering at the 60-mark, per Santiment. The indicator shows that Ethereum is slightly overbought at this price point, but it may not be in a critical position due to its large market cap.

One of the main drivers of Ethereum price increase is ETH spot expectations ETFs in the US Investment products are scheduled to start trading on July 23rd.

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Bits + Beeps: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Cryptocurrencies After the Assassination Attempt

FinCrypt Staff

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Bits + Bips: How to Play the ‘Trump Trade’ in Crypto After the Assassination Attempt

Also, how much will the Fed cut rates (and when)? What will be the inflows into ETH ETFs? And what is the near future for Bitcoin?

Posted on July 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM EST.

Listen to the episode at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Capsules, Source, Podcast Addict, Pocket molds, Amazon Musicor on your favorite podcast platform.

In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Alex Kruger and Joe McCann, joined by guest Jack Platts, dive into the market reaction to the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, analyzing how this event will influence the 2024 US presidential election and the cryptocurrency markets.

They also cover potential rate cuts: Could there be a cut in July? How big could the September rate cut be? Could the decision be influenced by the upcoming election?

They also give their predictions on what percentage of BTC ETF inflows the ETH ETFs will reach, and James talks about what he expects for Grayscale’s ETHE (hint: his outlook would be positive for ETH).

Finally, they delve into what’s next for Bitcoin as the German government runs out of BTC and Mt. Gox distributions begin. Just now?

Program Highlights:

  • Whether Trump’s shooting decided the election and whether the event caused a “flight to safety”
  • How election markets are becoming a place to watch election probabilities and whether cryptocurrencies “lean right”
  • Whether rate cuts will occur in July or September and by how much they will cut: 25 bps or 50 bps
  • How Joe sees the relationship between global liquidity cycles, rate cuts, and the potential rise of Bitcoin
  • What are the new updates about Ethereum ETFs and their expected launch?
  • Why Solana Hasn’t Performed Significantly Better Since Trump News
  • What Market Breadth Indicates About the Current Market Rally and the Impact of Rates on Small Caps
  • Everyone’s predictions on ETH ETF inflows and how much outflow we’ll see on Grayscale’s ETHE
  • What’s Next for BTC After German Government Exits Bitcoin and Mt. Gox Giveaways Starting This Week

Hosts:

Guest:

  • Jack PlattsCo-Founder and Managing Partner of Hypersphere Ventures

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