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How US macroeconomic data, including the Consumer Price Index, will determine trends
- The next CPI and other economic data are poised to influence Bitcoin price trends.
- The 2024 halving is set to reduce mining premiums, potentially impacting the entire mining ecosystem and market stability.
In line with VanEck’s precedent insights into the Bitcoin Halving 2024The event is expected to be pivotal, with mining rewards halving to 3,125 bitcoins per block. This reduction it is likely to profoundly impact the mining landscape by altering profitability and accelerating advances in mining technology. Historically, such events have triggered adjustments within the mining community as it adapts to decreasing incentives, which could affect the network’s hash rate and overall security.
Market dynamics and influence of the Federal Reserve
According to the latest analysis from Binance, cryptocurrency markets have gone through a phase of stagnation, with the total market capitalization falling to $2.38 trillion. This week’s economic schedule is key as it introduces key inflation data and multiple speeches from the Federal Reserve, which could influence the direction of US monetary policy. Notable ratios include the Core Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI)essential for measuring inflationary pressures and their implications on economic conditions and Federal Reserve actions.
According to the latest Binance update today, here are the five crucial insights:
- Cryptocurrency Market Update: Cryptocurrency markets remained stable over the weekend, with total capitalization falling to $2.38 trillion, following a decline from last week.
- Economic indicators: This week’s economic calendar highlights potential volatility due to the release of key inflation data and numerous speeches from the Federal Reserve, which will potentially guide future directions of monetary policy.
- Economic and inflation reports: Scheduled reports include Tuesday’s Core Producer Price Index (PPI), which serves as an early indicator of inflationary pressures, and Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), a crucial measure that influences economic trends and policies in the country. Federal Reserve.
- Federal Reserve Communications: The week features 12 events with speakers from the Federal Reserve, including a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday, offering insights into future policy adjustments.
- Business and consumer perspectives: A recent Conference Board survey indicated that a majority of U.S. CEOs expect minimal rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year, with market expectations aligned for potentially two rate cuts, with the first possibly in September.
A recent tweet from respected analyst Mark Cullen highlighted the importance of current price levels, suggesting potential moves based on short-term market behavior.
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#Bitcoin still remaining above 60,000 and the breaking of the downward trend. That blue OB is going to be key in the short term, lose it and we will revisit the lows and probably much lower. A hold and another leg is likely to take liquidity above the highs at 64-67k.
IMO, this week everything will depend on the consumer price index. pic.twitter.com/0R9syUIqn2
— AlphaBTC (@mark_cullen) May 13, 2024
Meanwhile, a Conference Board survey indicates that most US CEOs are bracing for minimal rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year, with market expectations leaning towards two reductions, the first likely to September.
Market projections amid economic fluctuations
Echoing the sentiments of financial analysts and major banks, the Bitcoin market closely follows macroeconomic indicators and central bank policies. To reinforce this point of view, a recent CNF post highlighted that Standard Chartered maintains a bullish stance on Bitcoinmaintaining a price target of $150,000 by the end of the year despite recent price declines.
This optimistic forecast is attributed to the cyclicality of the market and the growth of ETFs, underlining the influence of financial products on the valuation of cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $63,145after passing 2.61% in the last 24 hours.